Adrink3D
0x54e15a0a77e3147ac78831804e5dde13cb589d5a
- Realised P&L
- $40.8k
- Volume
- $959.0k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $11.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration30.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? · Yes | 0.198 | 0.313 | $7.6k | +$2.8k |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? · No | 0.150 | 0.959 | $1.6k | +$1.4k |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.013 | $1.3k | +$424.20 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? · Yes | 0.118 | 0.161 | $776.78 | +$203.35 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.048 | $49.54 | −$45.23 |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$82.50 |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$75.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.6kat 0.049Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$3.3kat 0.110Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
- +$3.0kat 0.392Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$2.9kat 0.607Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
- +$1.7kat 0.701Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 09:33 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.176056338 | $2.00 |
| 07-31 09:31 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.0476224066 | $0.46 |
| 07-29 10:05 | Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027? | SELL | 0.0440572549 | $2.25 |
| 07-27 10:49 | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? | SELL | 0.9685276444 | $217.92 |
| 07-26 10:13 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0120219463 | $2.20 |
| 07-24 09:18 | Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? | BUY | 0.4600336121 | $29.70 |
| 07-24 09:12 | Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.2293637178 | $5.2k |
| 07-23 12:49 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0657854795 | $6.00 |
| 07-23 12:44 | Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027? | BUY | 0.0908711769 | $394.30 |
| 07-23 12:34 | Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? | BUY | 0.2496513204 | $525.89 |
| 07-23 12:32 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.2502453386 | $25.50 |
| 07-23 12:15 | Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.2688077928 | $109.00 |
| 07-22 14:59 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.226524801 | $2.5k |
| 07-22 08:56 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.1339941123 | $5.9k |
| 07-21 21:17 | Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? | BUY | 0.2282928513 | $134.89 |