Desy-1725192185234
0xb4f2f0c858566fef705edf8efc1a5e9fba307862
- Realised P&L
- $107.9k
- Volume
- $320.80M
- Markets traded
- 559
- Open portfolio
- $46.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded559
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.1kat 0.004Fulham wins the Premier League?
- +$4.3kat 0.003Brentford wins the Premier League?
- +$3.6kat 0.006Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$3.4kat 0.004Bournemouth wins the Premier League?
- +$3.2kat 0.009Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:24 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.4k |
| 11-01 21:14 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.1k |
| 11-01 15:06 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.006 | $4.12 |
| 10-29 02:27 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 20:07 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.003 | $264.62 |
| 10-28 07:24 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.006 | $13.72 |
| 10-26 12:21 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.001 | $271.41 |
| 10-25 20:15 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.998 | $368.71 |
| 10-23 11:55 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.002 | $2.09 |
| 10-21 22:48 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $511.44 |
| 10-21 15:22 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.003 | $1.1k |
| 10-21 02:49 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.09 |
| 10-16 12:59 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.007 | $36.91 |
| 10-15 14:17 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.05 |
| 10-13 12:58 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.959 | $486.90 |