PolyBot

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Traders

Desy-1725192185234

0xb4f2f0c858566fef705edf8efc1a5e9fba307862

Realised P&L
$107.9k
Volume
$320.80M
Markets traded
559
Open portfolio
$46.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded559
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9270.984$19.2k+$1.1k
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? · Yes0.9991.000$11.5k+$6.05
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9460.972$7.4k+$193.15
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.9991.000$6.1k+$3.07
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31? · No0.9280.968$1.0k+$41.02
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? · No0.9541.000$918.77+$41.65
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? · No0.9991.000$211.27+$0.11
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes0.1430.112$171.71−$48.27
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? · Yes0.0050.005$48.97+$4.45
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.1100.490$2.45+$1.90
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · Yes0.0580.001$0.00−$0.29
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.0230.001$0.00−$0.11
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00−$0.14
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$0.05
Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$0.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:24Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?BUY0.999$8.4k
11-01 21:14Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.999$3.1k
11-01 15:06Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?SELL0.006$4.12
10-29 02:27Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?SELL0.005$1.00
10-28 20:07Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?SELL0.003$264.62
10-28 07:24Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?SELL0.006$13.72
10-26 12:21Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.001$271.41
10-25 20:15Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.998$368.71
10-23 11:55Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.002$2.09
10-21 22:48Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?BUY0.995$511.44
10-21 15:22Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.003$1.1k
10-21 02:49Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?SELL0.006$0.09
10-16 12:59Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?SELL0.007$36.91
10-15 14:17Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?SELL0.005$0.05
10-13 12:58Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.959$486.90