Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-28
Rewards: 200 min size · 2.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.49. up 0.16 over the period, from 0.34. Range 0.30 to 0.49. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.50	5,257	5,257
0.51	17,921	23,178
0.52	42,983	66,161
0.53	33,050	99,212
0.54	21,335	120,547
0.55	6,856	127,402
0.56	10,112	137,514
0.57	6,923	144,437
0.58	15,200	159,637
0.59	20,000	179,637
0.60	5,400	185,037
0.61	26,200	211,237

Spread0.01Mid0.49

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.49	68,173	68,173
0.48	176,211	244,384
0.47	174,808	419,192
0.46	9,015	428,207
0.45	11,075	439,282
0.44	24,689	463,971
0.43	5,847	469,818
0.42	2,116	471,934
0.41	210	472,144
0.40	8,863	481,007
0.39	330	481,337
0.38	1,220	482,557

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.51	68,173	68,173
0.52	176,211	244,384
0.53	174,808	419,192
0.54	9,015	428,207
0.55	11,075	439,282
0.56	24,689	463,971
0.57	5,847	469,818
0.58	2,116	471,934
0.59	210	472,144
0.60	8,863	481,007
0.61	330	481,337
0.62	1,220	482,557

Spread0.01Mid0.51

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.50	5,257	5,257
0.49	17,921	23,178
0.48	42,983	66,161
0.47	33,050	99,212
0.46	21,335	120,547
0.45	6,856	127,402
0.44	10,112	137,514
0.43	6,923	144,437
0.42	15,200	159,637
0.41	20,000	179,637
0.40	5,400	185,037
0.39	26,200	211,237

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Erasmus.	Yes	272,611.67
ArmageddonRewardsBilly	Yes	120,252.41
ratehikes	Yes	65,036.86
SheltonDoubter	Yes	51,836.53
0xc2	Yes	42,595.11
QMG-CORE	Yes	32,700
TheReturnOfDarthMaul	Yes	29,464.92
TBill1	Yes	27,521.34
Burgil	Yes	25,304.05
CDAP1	Yes	25,067.5
ImJustKen	Yes	24,999.99
RememberAmalek	Yes	24,941.03
Dreamlawn	Yes	21,744.99
hippoka	Yes	18,754.2
Obey2162	Yes	10,500
WongKimArk	Yes	10,000
NIKEa	Yes	9,999.73
glhfgg	Yes	9,385.41
Logan.	Yes	9,236.23
foodenjoyer	Yes	7,577.17

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
20:14:48	BUY	Yes	0.5	982	$491.00
20:07:01	BUY	Yes	0.5	1,965	$982.50
20:00:12	SELL	Yes	0.49	655	$320.83
19:51:06	BUY	Yes	0.5	50	$25.00
19:50:42	BUY	Yes	0.5	40	$20.00
19:44:31	BUY	Yes	0.5	10	$5.00
19:36:15	SELL	Yes	0.49	4	$2.00
19:29:36	BUY	Yes	0.5	2	$1.00
19:22:24	SELL	No	0.5	2,301	$1150.63
19:02:40	BUY	No	0.51	298	$152.16
18:50:40	BUY	Yes	0.49	4,662	$2284.59
18:46:10	BUY	Yes	0.4899999584	4	$2.00
18:29:40	BUY	No	0.52	29	$14.86
18:14:39	SELL	Yes	0.48	10	$4.80
18:13:49	BUY	Yes	0.49	14	$7.00
18:03:46	BUY	Yes	0.48	21,735	$10432.80
18:02:33	BUY	Yes	0.4799999804	8	$3.92
18:02:16	BUY	Yes	0.4799999616	4	$2.00
18:01:03	BUY	Yes	0.48	6	$2.94
18:00:57	BUY	Yes	0.4799999302	2	$1.10
18:00:57	BUY	Yes	0.48	10,300	$4944.00
17:57:43	BUY	Yes	0.48	9	$4.41
17:57:37	BUY	Yes	0.48	1,030	$494.40
17:57:37	BUY	Yes	0.4799999302	2	$1.10
17:57:37	BUY	Yes	0.4799999302	2	$1.10