PolyBot

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Traders

Burgil

0xd5eb2846e5f41e76fd1a607320ae1ec45af0b9d6

Realised P&L
$38.9k
Volume
$1.75M
Markets traded
175
Open portfolio
$16.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded175
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4010.495$12.5k+$2.4k
Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.4740.396$4.4k$867.06
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2550.000$0.00$8.73
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET · Up0.4600.000$0.00$4.00
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$22.20
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$50.48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET · Down0.2590.000$0.00$24.09
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$16.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET · Down0.7010.000$0.00$56.81
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET · Up0.2710.000$0.00$50.32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET · Up0.4080.000$0.00$13.82
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET · Up0.3420.000$0.00$14.13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET · Up0.3420.000$0.00$14.15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET · Down0.3280.000$0.00$29.85
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.8600.000$0.00$4.2k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 18:35Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.4388461538$28.52
09-17 18:32Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.42108$8.42
09-17 18:30Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.4878340957$1000.00
09-17 17:27Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.4914997843$900.00
09-17 16:59Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.6017039848$1.0k
09-17 16:57Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.393$31.40
09-17 16:55Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.4253431019$2.3k
09-17 06:09Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.45$4.5k
09-16 16:20Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.36$1.9k
09-16 15:46Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.3799999982$75.00
09-16 15:46Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.3799999993$21.00
09-16 15:44Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.3699999997$278.00
09-16 15:43Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.37$1.1k
09-16 15:33Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.37$1.2k
09-16 15:32Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.3699999999$462.00