Burgil
0xd5eb2846e5f41e76fd1a607320ae1ec45af0b9d6
- Realised P&L
- $38.9k
- Volume
- $1.75M
- Markets traded
- 175
- Open portfolio
- $16.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded175
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.7kat 0.516Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$8.6kat 0.538Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
- +$3.3kat 0.384Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$2.6kat 0.095Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$2.3kat 0.765Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 18:35 | Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.4388461538 | $28.52 |
| 09-17 18:32 | Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.42108 | $8.42 |
| 09-17 18:30 | Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.4878340957 | $1000.00 |
| 09-17 17:27 | Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.4914997843 | $900.00 |
| 09-17 16:59 | Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.6017039848 | $1.0k |
| 09-17 16:57 | Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.393 | $31.40 |
| 09-17 16:55 | Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.4253431019 | $2.3k |
| 09-17 06:09 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.45 | $4.5k |
| 09-16 16:20 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.9k |
| 09-16 15:46 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3799999982 | $75.00 |
| 09-16 15:46 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3799999993 | $21.00 |
| 09-16 15:44 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3699999997 | $278.00 |
| 09-16 15:43 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.1k |
| 09-16 15:33 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.2k |
| 09-16 15:32 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3699999999 | $462.00 |