Erasmus.
0xc6587b11a2209e46dfe3928b31c5514a8e33b784
- Realised P&L
- $-44.6k
- Volume
- $144.50M
- Markets traded
- 762
- Open portfolio
- $370.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded762
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$389.4kat 0.424US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$251.7kat 0.286US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$230.0kat 0.011Was Milei hacked?
- +$203.5kat 0.739Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$200.3kat 0.928Will Biden finish his term?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 17:25 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7563603095 | $46.1k |
| 07-29 17:25 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7560256979 | $13.1k |
| 07-29 17:12 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7445783622 | $39.0k |
| 07-29 17:12 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7469079007 | $11.8k |
| 07-29 17:08 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7459906367 | $61.8k |
| 07-29 17:08 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7486531896 | $10.7k |
| 07-29 16:49 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7441065167 | $52.9k |
| 07-29 16:49 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7423260508 | $3.7k |
| 07-29 15:33 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7349994716 | $183.7k |
| 07-29 15:27 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7349860089 | $183.7k |
| 07-28 23:30 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2349429055 | $352.33 |
| 07-28 23:30 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.24 | $4.4k |
| 07-28 22:31 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.249274749 | $17.1k |
| 07-28 22:31 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2483143692 | $2.8k |
| 07-28 19:46 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2298929138 | $11.5k |