Dreamlawn
0xeee1b757ce93e076fdb4c1f4ff183dc302c53e28
- Realised P&L
- $229.8k
- Volume
- $669.7k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $14.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar34.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)67.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$230.0kat 0.616Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$376.19at 0.210Will Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?
- +$342.00at 0.810No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
- +$312.19at 0.762TikTok sale announced in 2025?
- +$177.69at 0.650Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 18:25 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.49 | $420.05 |
| 09-17 18:22 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.7k |
| 09-17 18:03 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.48 | $10.4k |
| 09-16 19:04 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.53 | $106.00 |
| 09-14 20:24 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.3k |
| 09-14 20:20 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.87 | $115.1k |
| 09-14 19:10 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.86 | $10.3k |
| 09-14 19:09 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.86 | $53.0k |
| 09-14 19:02 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.86 | $24.1k |
| 09-14 18:53 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.85 | $24.7k |
| 09-13 12:03 | Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.027 | $18.98 |
| 09-13 11:35 | Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.582 | $100.10 |
| 09-13 11:34 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.586 | $0.09 |
| 09-13 11:33 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.586 | $57.43 |
| 09-09 05:57 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.31 | $6.20 |