PolyBot

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Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-28
Resolves by
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.015. down 0.006 over the period, from 0.021. Range 0.011 to 0.025. 161 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0161,7051,705
0.01751,710
0.0181601,870
0.0196672,537
0.0215163,053
0.0251,3994,451
0.027204,471
0.0284374,908
0.0347275,635
0.0361,0806,715
0.037316,747
0.048206,767

Spread0.002Mid0.015

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0149292
0.013563656
0.0128,3739,029
0.0114,41813,447
0.0109,85623,303
0.0083,75027,053
0.0072,85729,910
0.00653,83383,743
0.005515,575599,318
0.004527,5001,126,818
0.0032,112,5333,239,351
0.0022,108,9505,348,301

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9869292
0.987563656
0.9888,3739,029
0.9894,41813,447
0.9909,85623,303
0.9923,75027,053
0.9932,85729,910
0.99453,83383,743
0.995515,575599,318
0.996527,5001,126,818
0.9972,112,5333,239,351
0.9982,108,9505,348,301

Spread0.002Mid0.985

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9841,7051,705
0.98351,710
0.9821601,870
0.9816672,537
0.9795163,053
0.9751,3994,451
0.973204,471
0.9724374,908
0.9667275,635
0.9641,0806,715
0.963316,747
0.952206,767

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
RektCitysYes14,299.91
MassivelyBrokenYes4,713.42
polio123Yes3,217.29
KheugeneYes2,899.26
DonkovYes2,767.84
DjnjkYes2,553.74
881112Yes2,499.99
donthackmeYes2,159.78
0x22d8…a92bYes1,846.39
Happydog2026Yes1,538.46
feishenYes1,340.24
bdr2Yes1,199.99
FroxiesYes1,162.69
BabyGrootYes1,080.38
CopezillaYes1,000
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938Yes992.17
AJSVYes965.06
TougeYes666.66
yoozzzYes600
Dr.PNLYes599.98

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
07:45:36SELLYes0.0135$0.07
05:29:11SELLYes0.01362$0.81
20:29:11SELLYes0.01367$0.87
20:23:24BUYNo0.987412$406.99
20:23:24BUYNo0.987306$302.08
20:23:24BUYNo0.98745$44.73
20:23:24BUYNo0.9853423889228$224.87
12:58:27BUYNo0.985115$113.63
12:58:19BUYNo0.98568$66.98
12:56:06SELLNo0.9840$0.10
11:52:40BUYNo0.98577$76.32
11:52:30BUYNo0.984100$98.40
11:52:30BUYNo0.98550$49.25
11:52:30BUYNo0.984228$224.14
11:52:30BUYNo0.98430$29.52
11:52:30BUYNo0.98410$9.84
11:44:57BUYNo0.984106$104.46
11:44:52BUYNo0.983100$98.30
11:44:51BUYNo0.983809013732$31.68
11:37:30BUYNo0.983250$245.75
11:37:30BUYNo0.98240$39.28
11:37:30BUYNo0.9826849524210$206.36
11:37:18BUYNo0.982260$255.79
11:37:16BUYNo0.982300$294.61
03:58:17SELLYes0.01657$0.91