PolyBot

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Traders

polio123

0x990655efc3e4ff8d488af70c268e32f5df61c0ae

Realised P&L
$6.8k
Volume
$1.47M
Markets traded
749
Open portfolio
$76.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded749
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? · Yes0.0180.015$48.26−$10.15
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? · Yes0.1130.095$21.53−$4.09
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.0110.011$3.30+$0.00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · Yes0.1700.175$1.75+$0.05
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0050.004$1.25−$0.54
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$2.87
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.3810.000$0.00−$1.3k
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$8.86
Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 23, 2026? (copy) (copy) · No0.3000.000$0.00−$45.30
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$48.00
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? · No0.0930.000$0.00−$96.44
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$2.80
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$25.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1940.000$0.00−$136.00
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00−$10.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 18:03Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?SELL0.15$14.40
10-16 18:03Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?SELL0.15$15.00
10-16 07:14Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?SELL0.31$15.50
10-16 07:07Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?SELL0.353047619$74.14
10-16 06:53Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?SELL0.426$96.93
10-15 21:13Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?BUY0.138$13.80
10-15 03:58Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?SELL0.016$0.91
10-13 04:03Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?BUY0.063$5.94
10-10 16:53Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?SELL0.021$6.00
10-08 17:15Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?BUY0.016$6.77
10-08 17:14Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?SELL0.07$7.00
10-08 17:14Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?BUY0.016$13.73
10-08 17:13Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?SELL0.01$15.00
10-08 17:12Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?BUY0.016$5.30
10-06 03:56Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?BUY0.05$5.00