Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-17
Resolves by: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.004. down 0.009 over the period, from 0.012. Range 0.003 to 0.013. 152 points.

Not connected

Live

Spread0.003Mid0.004

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.002	1,283	1,283
0.001	10,721	12,004

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.998	1,283	1,283
0.999	10,721	12,004

Spread0.003Mid0.996

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
18:54:03	BUY	Yes	0.004	5	$0.02
17:29:10	SELL	Yes	0.002	14	$0.03
00:00:25	SELL	Yes	0.003	35	$0.10
23:18:28	BUY	No	0.99665	20	$19.93
23:07:43	BUY	No	0.996	5	$4.98
13:53:21	SELL	Yes	0.004	5	$0.02
23:21:42	BUY	No	0.997	30	$29.91
23:21:16	BUY	Yes	0.009	5	$0.04
15:53:31	BUY	No	0.995	20	$20.38
15:53:31	BUY	No	0.995	30	$29.85
15:53:31	BUY	No	0.995	26	$25.55
15:34:52	BUY	No	0.995	20	$20.00
15:34:52	BUY	No	0.995	30	$29.85
13:52:32	BUY	No	0.995	4	$3.48
09:44:46	BUY	No	0.994	10	$9.94
09:44:02	BUY	No	0.994	30	$29.82
09:44:02	BUY	No	0.990216	30	$29.71
09:44:02	BUY	No	0.994	10	$9.94
16:09:09	BUY	No	0.99	50	$49.50
16:09:09	BUY	No	0.99	134	$132.69
16:09:09	BUY	No	0.99	43	$42.57
16:16:54	BUY	No	0.99	40	$39.60
09:29:21	BUY	No	0.99	40	$39.60
14:01:53	BUY	No	0.99	10	$9.90
14:01:53	BUY	No	0.99	10	$9.90