PolyBot

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Traders

kilmelt

0xaf780e653bdcffc953600811ab38c02648605b41

Realised P&L
$-34.17
Volume
$16.6k
Markets traded
53
Open portfolio
$17.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded53
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ireland participate in Eurovision 2027? · No0.8800.920$6.90+$0.30
Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election? · Yes0.9260.955$5.77+$0.17
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C? · Yes0.0100.051$3.03+$2.43
Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027? · Yes0.2500.185$1.12$0.40
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · No0.3500.380$1.09+$0.09
Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$39.51
Will Monokate win Vidbir 2026? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$9.34
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship? · Yes0.1670.000$0.00$1.00
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? · No0.4600.000$0.00$1.90
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET · Down0.2680.000$0.00$26.84
Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$1.67
Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? · No0.3100.000$0.00$1.00
Men's Group A - Czechia vs. Canada · Czechia0.0660.000$0.00$4.92
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship? · Yes0.0610.000$0.00$11.60
Will Ukraine win on 2026-03-26? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 20:51Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027?BUY0.25$1.52
09-16 16:09Will Ireland participate in Eurovision 2027?BUY0.8$2.00
09-15 22:38Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
05-15 21:55Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.2599999222$1.67
05-15 21:54Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.3499999817$7.67
05-15 21:53Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.5109999982$13.44
05-15 11:46Will Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?BUY0.1069999089$1.00
05-15 11:43Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
05-13 20:06Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?BUY0.85$1.92
05-13 20:06Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?BUY0.4599999564$1.90
05-13 20:05Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?BUY0.459999885$2.00
05-13 20:05Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?BUY0.8599999991$20.00
05-13 15:52Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.01$0.54
05-10 12:43Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?BUY0.5699999335$3.00
05-10 12:43Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?BUY0.3799999012$1.00