Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-29
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.36. up 0.22 over the period, from 0.14. Range 0.14 to 0.64. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.37	232	232
0.38	680	912
0.39	70	982
0.40	20	1,002
0.41	162	1,164
0.42	20	1,184
0.43	140	1,324
0.44	20	1,345
0.45	100	1,444
0.46	100	1,544
0.47	188	1,732
0.48	834	2,566

Spread0.02Mid0.36

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.35	286	286
0.34	108	394
0.33	160	554
0.32	20	574
0.21	10	584
0.20	93	677
0.18	148	825
0.17	481	1,306
0.16	284	1,590
0.15	1,238	2,828
0.14	369	3,197
0.13	200	3,397

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.65	286	286
0.66	108	394
0.67	160	554
0.68	20	574
0.79	10	584
0.80	93	677
0.82	148	825
0.83	481	1,306
0.84	284	1,590
0.85	1,238	2,828
0.86	369	3,197
0.87	200	3,397

Spread0.02Mid0.64

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.63	232	232
0.62	680	912
0.61	70	982
0.60	20	1,002
0.59	162	1,164
0.58	20	1,184
0.57	140	1,324
0.56	20	1,345
0.55	100	1,444
0.54	100	1,544
0.53	188	1,732
0.52	834	2,566

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
aghy	Yes	13,797.65
Useerna	Yes	2,662.27
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938	Yes	1,040.53
Jest55	Yes	914.81
Gaditima	Yes	586
polmarke195	Yes	400
exothetajunkie	Yes	357.78
nicholasflamel	Yes	295.19
Started-with-20-USD	Yes	288.99
charlatta	Yes	135.35
marksman	Yes	115.37
tiredShip	Yes	100
SmartBoyBilly	Yes	80.4
0xd0d9…30f2	Yes	80
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271	Yes	74.45
Pauliemarkets	Yes	66.67
Paws4president	Yes	66.67
0x62a5…3365	Yes	60.36
Specialist200303	Yes	58.79
tinman2	Yes	58.07

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
23:29:31	SELL	Yes	0.35	25	$8.77
23:29:30	BUY	No	0.65	5	$3.22
21:58:34	BUY	Yes	0.3699999593	5	$2.00
19:59:04	BUY	Yes	0.3493698529	859	$300.00
18:12:36	BUY	Yes	0.3399999992	26	$8.80
18:11:10	BUY	Yes	0.34	20	$6.80
17:58:40	BUY	Yes	0.34	30	$10.20
17:51:49	BUY	Yes	0.3299999909	26	$8.67
17:50:03	SELL	Yes	0.28	2	$0.69
17:49:49	BUY	Yes	0.31	7	$2.13
17:48:54	SELL	Yes	0.23	6	$1.35
17:48:54	SELL	Yes	0.23	6	$1.35
17:48:54	SELL	Yes	0.23	6	$1.35
17:48:52	BUY	No	0.694585	100	$69.46
17:48:52	BUY	No	0.7291485276	20	$14.58
16:30:33	SELL	No	0.68	5	$3.40
16:04:30	SELL	No	0.67	30	$20.10
15:09:08	BUY	No	0.67	20	$13.40
15:09:08	BUY	No	0.6626071609	99	$65.70
13:38:54	SELL	No	0.63	9	$5.38
13:19:10	BUY	Yes	0.3616255112	53	$19.00
09:28:04	BUY	Yes	0.3799999936	25	$9.52
09:03:22	SELL	Yes	0.3	5	$1.50
04:02:39	BUY	Yes	0.38	5	$1.90
03:12:30	SELL	Yes	0.33	1	$0.17