nicholasflamel
0xfb447c72da8a141aa53497022eeb03530e491482
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $31.9k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the September decision? · Yes | 0.875 | 0.840 | $384.04 | −$15.96 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.617 | 0.585 | $284.31 | −$15.69 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.489 | 0.455 | $232.56 | −$17.44 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.465 | $175.47 | −$24.53 |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.812 | 0.925 | $113.93 | +$13.93 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No | 0.790 | 0.885 | $112.03 | +$12.03 |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Novak Djokovic · Roman Safiullin | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? · No | 0.258 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$333.50at 0.677Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?
- +$289.83at 0.597Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?
- +$231.87at 0.751Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$226.72at 0.779US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
- +$211.75at 0.582Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 06:17 | Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.632410441 | $100.00 |
| 08-05 06:14 | Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the September decision? | BUY | 0.8599999986 | $50.00 |
| 08-05 06:14 | Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the September decision? | BUY | 0.8599999986 | $50.00 |
| 07-31 09:08 | Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the September decision? | BUY | 0.8799999999 | $300.00 |
| 07-31 09:07 | No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8118811867 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 09:05 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5299999983 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 09:05 | Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6099999985 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 09:05 | Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6099999985 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 09:04 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5299999983 | $100.00 |
| 07-29 16:54 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7399999998 | $200.00 |
| 07-29 12:26 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7579999995 | $250.00 |
| 07-28 05:16 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7169999957 | $100.00 |
| 07-28 05:15 | Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.0060459367 | $1.41 |
| 07-10 19:02 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.5949999993 | $80.00 |
| 07-08 21:17 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7799999949 | $150.00 |