nicholasflamel
0xfb447c72da8a141aa53497022eeb03530e491482
- Realised P&L
- $3.1k
- Volume
- $53.0k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $4.2k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$609.15at 0.674Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$322.21at 0.688Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?
- +$312.33at 0.194Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?
- +$283.82at 0.604Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?
- +$226.72at 0.779US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 14:41 | Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.55318825 | $221.28 |
| 09-22 08:39 | Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.476 | $47.60 |
| 09-21 23:04 | Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.92662435 | $185.32 |
| 09-21 23:02 | Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6070557784 | $200.00 |
| 09-21 23:01 | No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.72 | $103.68 |
| 09-21 22:59 | Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.9279412 | $278.38 |
| 09-18 17:38 | Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5471117968 | $500.00 |
| 09-18 05:58 | No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8022714514 | $300.00 |
| 09-18 00:17 | Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.4782922285 | $141.18 |
| 09-18 00:15 | Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8788212614 | $500.00 |
| 09-18 00:13 | Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.4363206028 | $203.24 |
| 09-17 20:56 | Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.4923386667 | $147.70 |
| 09-17 12:06 | Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.51 | $367.75 |
| 09-17 08:32 | No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5225559294 | $200.00 |
| 09-15 05:58 | Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.47 | $67.54 |