PolyBot

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Will the Democratic Party win the VA-11 House seat?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04
Resolves by
https://www.fec.gov/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.986. up 0.017 over the period, from 0.969. Range 0.941 to 0.986. 145 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9962020
0.997159179
0.999433612

Spread0.020Mid0.986

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.97655
0.974510
0.9612030
0.960290320
0.959550870
0.9587501,620
0.9501,1502,770
0.940502,820
0.9263003,120
0.8663023,422
0.863253,447
0.7663403,787

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.02455
0.026510
0.0392030
0.040290320
0.041550870
0.0427501,620
0.0501,1502,770
0.060502,820
0.0743003,120
0.1343023,422
0.137253,447
0.2343403,787

Spread0.020Mid0.014

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0042020
0.003159179
0.001433612

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Ryxon21Yes1,051.28
altsuYes611
0x120b3E2E98fC4fe8C383C70867fD635669F1eE03-1730491999430Yes550
varch01Yes500
io-caneYes206
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938Yes88
LornaPredictsYes50
Elias.ThornwellYes29.22
FrankyFourFingersYes28.1
xujimatrixYes10
ABC12345654321Yes6
wqeewqeadawfawfwaYes5
0xa5ef…2966No1,715.13
GayPrideNo413.97
thecaricatureNo330
xtxpleasecallmeNo265.44
Biver52No100
0x5533…51baNo90
BSS37No42.15
Rain-Prob-01No36.36

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
12:50:43BUYNo0.0356$0.21
09:01:47BUYNo0.04530$1.35
08:00:08BUYNo0.0398$0.31
07:28:33BUYNo0.03314$0.46
08:23:49BUYNo0.0335$1.05
06:26:19BUYNo0.02417$0.41
20:49:52BUYNo0.023999999750$1.19
19:07:53BUYNo0.02323$0.53
16:17:52BUYNo0.02417$0.41
18:33:48BUYNo0.027999999948$1.34
16:29:32SELLNo0.0222000231260$5.77
14:29:50BUYYes0.978206$201.47
23:26:41BUYYes0.97410$9.74
13:04:35SELLNo0.02610$0.26
16:09:28SELLNo0.023250$1.16
16:47:04SELLNo0.02450$1.20
14:39:24SELLNo0.02950$1.45
17:31:19SELLNo0.0311$0.02
17:27:15SELLNo0.0420$0.80
17:27:07SELLNo0.040341609760$2.42
17:26:19SELLNo0.041$0.02
17:21:16BUYNo0.041999961224$1.00
17:21:12SELLNo0.0429$1.16
17:21:07SELLNo0.04130$1.21
17:11:58SELLNo0.04150$2.05