io-cane
0xf16640ce7cb59d7b38ca397652a5d296c6d0fb37
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $22.75M
- Markets traded
- 398
- Open portfolio
- $722.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded398
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$476.00at 0.024Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$405.25at 0.001Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$198.67at 0.001Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
- +$188.97at 0.001Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
- +$121.32at 0.001Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 07:38 | Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? | BUY | 0.29 | $58.00 |
| 10-02 01:08 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.601 | $6.01 |
| 10-01 14:29 | Will the Democratic Party win the VA-11 House seat? | BUY | 0.978 | $201.47 |
| 10-01 14:29 | Will the Republican Party win the VA-11 House seat? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.23 |
| 09-30 20:25 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 09-21 20:20 | Giants vs. Rams | BUY | 0.74 | $7.40 |
| 09-19 09:12 | Saints vs. Ravens | BUY | 0.79 | $7.90 |
| 09-11 17:46 | Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.941 | $4.71 |
| 09-11 17:10 | Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.941 | $4.71 |
| 09-03 21:17 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 08-31 10:42 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-31? | BUY | 0.88 | $8.80 |
| 08-30 18:58 | RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Valencia CF: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.57 | $5.70 |
| 08-30 17:38 | Will Valencia CF win on 2026-08-30? | BUY | 0.69 | $69.00 |
| 08-28 09:46 | Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 TOUR Championship? | BUY | 0.76 | $7.60 |
| 08-27 16:48 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $8.00 |