PolyBot

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Will an Independent candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 3% or more?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04
Rewards
50 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.15. down 0.02 over the period, from 0.17. Range 0.13 to 0.45. 149 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.16331331
0.17575906
0.1850956
0.191501,106
0.20501,156
0.26411,197
0.271001,297
0.282001,497
0.29691,565
0.32201,585
0.335002,085
0.39302,115

Spread0.02Mid0.15

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.14529529
0.132,5083,037
0.124203,457
0.119894,446
0.081004,546
0.04504,596
0.03904,686
0.023004,986
0.01195,005

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.86529529
0.872,5083,037
0.884203,457
0.899894,446
0.921004,546
0.96504,596
0.97904,686
0.983004,986
0.99195,005

Spread0.02Mid0.85

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.84331331
0.83575906
0.8250956
0.811501,106
0.80501,156
0.74411,197
0.731001,297
0.722001,497
0.71691,565
0.68201,585
0.675002,085
0.61302,115

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
HaradwaithYes492.84
xtxpleasecallmeYes475.68
GolftangoYes428.57
rocky42018Yes263.61
LornaPredictsYes159.93
galhammermanYes157
FihdrzgddYes135
tradeo39Yes124.56
0x96BFC07480D572c3AedB2B1f5CB08A98f297403E-1782223511037Yes50
g128Yes49.99
MuchAdo2BRN2BYes44.77
Tee1000Yes35.04
ivybaby02Yes32.5
e46m3Yes25.03
sm-02Yes18.86
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes17.02
balthazarYes8
GuyFromTinderYes3
0xca75…0a64Yes3
Albert 1953No1,263.4

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
00:59:42SELLYes0.1550$7.50
19:14:57SELLNo0.845$4.20
19:06:49SELLNo0.8760$52.20
16:24:48SELLNo0.8739$34.12
15:09:18BUYNo0.84192$161.20
15:09:13BUYNo0.83999991941$1.25
15:09:13SELLNo0.795$4.30
15:09:13SELLYes0.1652$8.32
15:09:12BUYNo0.84165$138.60
15:09:10BUYNo0.8196593561,072$878.26
15:09:10BUYNo0.8324351584132$110.04
15:09:10BUYNo0.8450$42.00
15:09:10BUYNo0.8455$46.41
15:09:10BUYNo0.83182$151.06
11:50:10SELLNo0.814$11.11
11:19:15SELLNo0.817$13.20
10:53:52SELLNo0.8114$11.22
09:56:09SELLNo0.85$4.00
09:56:06SELLNo0.799$7.23
09:56:04SELLNo0.85$4.00
09:56:00SELLNo0.85$4.00
09:55:37SELLNo0.825$20.00
09:54:45BUYNo0.8273$59.86
07:36:13BUYYes0.2245$9.85
07:28:52SELLYes0.20$0.04