PolyBot

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Traders

MuchAdo2BRN2B

0xfad4fb17d54b6d600d6cc912d433e73c252ca210

Realised P&L
$-7.4k
Volume
$1.12M
Markets traded
923
Open portfolio
$9.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded923
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 16:24Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.5$1.4k
10-31 15:49Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.72$144.00
10-31 15:48Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.49$96.53
10-31 15:47Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?BUY0.81$40.50
10-31 07:51Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.52$175.24
10-31 07:49Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?BUY0.26$4.92
10-31 07:47Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.7099999996$1000.00
10-31 07:36Will an Independent candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 3% or more?BUY0.22$9.85
10-31 07:25Will Democrats win the Iowa and Kansas Senate seats, and an independent win Nebraska?BUY0.2$4.02
10-31 07:25Will Democrats win the Iowa and Kansas Senate seats, and an independent win Nebraska?BUY0.2$2.37
10-31 07:23Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?BUY0.15$30.00
10-29 21:57Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.68$679.99
10-29 14:37Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?BUY0.58$11.37
10-29 14:34Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.68$2.7k
10-29 07:04Will Republicans win the Mississippi Senate seat, Democrats win South Carolina, and an independent win Montana?BUY0.027$2.40