PolyBot

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04
Rewards
50 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.17. up 0.06 over the period, from 0.10. Range 0.10 to 0.46. 146 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.171,6591,659
0.187372,396
0.198483,244
0.207794,023
0.214394,462
0.251204,582
0.285065,088
0.292775,365
0.302575,622
0.312575,879
0.322976,176
0.337806,956

Spread0.01Mid0.17

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.16565565
0.155071,071
0.146771,748
0.131,1622,910
0.122753,185
0.111,4404,625
0.101,2465,871
0.095766,447
0.081606,607
0.079717,579
0.06837,662
0.051007,762

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.84565565
0.855071,071
0.866771,748
0.871,1622,910
0.882753,185
0.891,4404,625
0.901,2465,871
0.915766,447
0.921606,607
0.939717,579
0.94837,662
0.951007,762

Spread0.01Mid0.83

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.831,6591,659
0.827372,396
0.818483,244
0.807794,023
0.794394,462
0.751204,582
0.725065,088
0.712775,365
0.702575,622
0.692575,879
0.682976,176
0.677806,956

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
lava-lavaYes2,808.77
AddarashYes1,616.63
blkcarib2020Yes833.33
theelectionwatcherYes659.43
DataDogYes435.62
xtxpleasecallmeYes412.26
bearlow2Yes387.19
kSj39SJLtjYes338.86
aj4848 - 31676Yes267.49
G.HchenYes250
gogi88Yes221.57
g128Yes200
buyrightbakeYes199.99
Sa1LaRYes140
ImNotBettingYes139.96
nikos.paixtisYes115.29
42021Yes113.74
ragutwoYes100
pppnnYes79
degeneratenomadYes54.22

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
20:42:03BUYNo0.83999999336$5.00
20:41:19BUYNo0.839999993324$20.00
20:29:36BUYNo0.839999993324$20.00
20:29:34BUYNo0.8388$72.83
19:30:42BUYYes0.191798758854$10.40
19:24:40BUYYes0.18999999286$1.05
18:14:12BUYYes0.1869228756267$50.00
17:02:39BUYNo0.8250$41.00
16:43:21BUYNo0.8218$14.76
10:44:37SELLNo0.825$4.10
06:36:49BUYYes0.179999992822$3.98
06:35:18BUYNo0.846$5.00
06:06:07BUYNo0.8392025061125$105.23
06:06:07BUYNo0.8382331742280$234.70
02:01:07BUYYes0.2211$42.18
02:00:22BUYYes0.2306$61.20
02:00:21BUYYes0.2150$10.50
02:00:21BUYYes0.208039215751$10.61
00:14:46BUYNo0.82999988471$1.08
20:45:01BUYNo0.82752100$82.75
20:29:27BUYNo0.789999996825$20.00
20:27:36SELLYes0.22164$36.08
18:12:13SELLYes0.2210$2.20
18:07:10SELLYes0.2210$2.20
18:06:12BUYYes0.2787580$22.30