Sa1LaR
0x1b46cb9b943801febc40ba117c6fff8426e90953
- Realised P&L
- $97.47
- Volume
- $30.2k
- Markets traded
- 119
- Open portfolio
- $2.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded119
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$239.16at 0.291Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?
- +$123.82at 0.809Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$111.93at 0.728Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files?
- +$85.80at 0.340Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?
- +$77.55at 0.310Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 19:17 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $29.40 |
| 11-02 19:17 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 12% or more? | SELL | 0.0914468571 | $12.80 |
| 11-02 19:17 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 9%-12%? | SELL | 0.0890769231 | $11.58 |
| 11-02 19:17 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%? | SELL | 0.22 | $30.80 |
| 11-02 19:17 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%? | SELL | 0.2 | $28.00 |
| 11-02 19:17 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%? | SELL | 0.19 | $26.60 |
| 11-02 17:49 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.852 | $92.01 |
| 11-02 17:48 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.852 | $42.60 |
| 11-02 13:51 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $6.00 |
| 11-02 13:50 | Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? | BUY | 0.9 | $90.00 |
| 11-02 13:50 | Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | SELL | 0.999 | $64.94 |
| 11-02 13:45 | Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? | BUY | 0.9 | $225.00 |
| 11-02 13:44 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $15.00 |
| 11-02 11:55 | Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | BUY | 0.51 | $33.15 |
| 11-02 10:51 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $89.60 |