PolyBot

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Traders

bearlow2

0x7adea7144a69a919b0cbd04f81b31138cc6e6fbe

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$18.2k
Markets traded
111
Open portfolio
$3.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded111
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Blue tsunami in 2026? · Yes0.5300.675$941.60+$202.27
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.1820.255$510.00+$146.00
Will Trump and Putin not meet? · Yes0.2040.140$413.56−$189.63
Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.4490.419$295.74−$20.87
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.2110.185$273.25−$38.05
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.3640.395$216.92+$16.92
Blue mega-tsunami in 2026? · Yes0.2900.280$193.10−$6.90
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.4600.560$128.80+$23.00
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%? · Yes0.1270.146$117.75+$15.54
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%? · Yes0.2580.165$63.89−$36.11
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 6%-9%? · Yes0.2050.061$27.80−$65.63
New pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0600.018$0.65−$1.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 17:26Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%?BUY0.2582695935$100.00
10-30 08:19Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?BUY0.27$108.00
10-29 17:47Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?BUY0.2899999998$200.00
10-29 17:46Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.3641963486$200.00
10-29 17:44Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 6%-9%?BUY0.2050116305$93.42
10-29 17:44Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%?BUY0.1280674309$90.00
10-29 17:44Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%?BUY0.1208811881$12.21
10-27 10:29Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.29$217.50
10-27 08:37Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.31$232.50
10-27 08:36Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?SELL0.3665169672$44.72
10-26 08:33Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?BUY0.4798$12.00
10-26 08:33Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?BUY0.479713299$46.53
10-24 08:46Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?BUY0.3$99.00
10-22 05:42Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 22?SELL0.006$0.18
10-21 16:18Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 22?BUY0.151$45.30