bearlow2
0x7adea7144a69a919b0cbd04f81b31138cc6e6fbe
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $18.2k
- Markets traded
- 111
- Open portfolio
- $3.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded111
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$790.34at 0.247Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$556.09at 0.342Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- +$8.03at 0.366Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
- +$7.93at 0.386Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
- +$7.35at 0.407Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 17:26 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%? | BUY | 0.2582695935 | $100.00 |
| 10-30 08:19 | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $108.00 |
| 10-29 17:47 | Blue mega-tsunami in 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999998 | $200.00 |
| 10-29 17:46 | Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.3641963486 | $200.00 |
| 10-29 17:44 | Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 6%-9%? | BUY | 0.2050116305 | $93.42 |
| 10-29 17:44 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%? | BUY | 0.1280674309 | $90.00 |
| 10-29 17:44 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%? | BUY | 0.1208811881 | $12.21 |
| 10-27 10:29 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.29 | $217.50 |
| 10-27 08:37 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.31 | $232.50 |
| 10-27 08:36 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | SELL | 0.3665169672 | $44.72 |
| 10-26 08:33 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | BUY | 0.4798 | $12.00 |
| 10-26 08:33 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | BUY | 0.479713299 | $46.53 |
| 10-24 08:46 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3 | $99.00 |
| 10-22 05:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 22? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.18 |
| 10-21 16:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 22? | BUY | 0.151 | $45.30 |