PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

DataDog

0x56d78525be0054d31b00182edb39c7056ee93d6b

Realised P&L
$-19.6k
Volume
$2.12M
Markets traded
555
Open portfolio
$5.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded555
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6840.745$876.58+$71.58
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6720.735$688.98+$58.98
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6820.705$568.69+$18.70
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · Yes0.8140.805$494.49−$5.51
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7000.705$302.14+$2.14
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1500.145$207.57−$7.42
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7000.705$201.43+$1.43
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.4300.485$191.74+$21.74
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0030.004$144.38+$19.43
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1370.135$128.37−$1.62
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? · Yes0.2510.255$106.71+$1.71
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · Yes0.8400.850$101.19+$1.19
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 47 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1380.130$93.93−$6.07
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%? · Yes0.2350.205$92.16−$13.51
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4780.415$86.75−$13.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 19:16Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.1069999999$5.00
10-31 17:42Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.0469287111$5.00
10-31 17:42Will Republicans win Alaska and Kansas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.008$5.00
10-30 22:44Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?BUY0.8099999998$300.00
10-30 21:33Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?BUY0.3299999815$5.00
10-30 21:31Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?BUY0.839999999$100.00
10-30 21:30Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5399999957$15.00
10-30 21:30Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?BUY0.449999964$5.00
10-30 21:29Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.0419078697$15.00
10-30 21:29Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.0919999985$5.00
10-30 21:29Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.08$15.00
10-30 21:27Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 0%-3%?BUY0.0548688701$20.00
10-30 20:55Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.4119999999$15.00
10-30 20:52Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%?BUY0.25$5.00
10-30 20:51Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%?BUY0.2506024075$20.00