DataDog
0x56d78525be0054d31b00182edb39c7056ee93d6b
- Realised P&L
- $-19.6k
- Volume
- $2.12M
- Markets traded
- 555
- Open portfolio
- $5.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded555
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.6kat 0.660Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
- +$2.9kat 0.928Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
- +$2.5kat 0.002Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
- +$2.4kat 0.108Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
- +$1.8kat 0.120Will Biden drop out on July 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 19:16 | Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.1069999999 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 17:42 | Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.0469287111 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 17:42 | Will Republicans win Alaska and Kansas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.008 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 22:44 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999998 | $300.00 |
| 10-30 21:33 | Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999815 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 21:31 | Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.839999999 | $100.00 |
| 10-30 21:30 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999957 | $15.00 |
| 10-30 21:30 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 21:29 | Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.0419078697 | $15.00 |
| 10-30 21:29 | Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.0919999985 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 21:29 | Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.08 | $15.00 |
| 10-30 21:27 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 0%-3%? | BUY | 0.0548688701 | $20.00 |
| 10-30 20:55 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.4119999999 | $15.00 |
| 10-30 20:52 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 20:51 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%? | BUY | 0.2506024075 | $20.00 |