buyrightbake
0x57cd8cad26e2d72dbfb25f2642a486cc374282ac
- Realised P&L
- $16.1k
- Volume
- $2.41M
- Markets traded
- 701
- Open portfolio
- $10.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded701
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.4kat 0.758Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
- +$9.5kat 0.706Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$8.4kat 0.292Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?
- +$5.9kat 0.671Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
- +$5.3kat 0.175Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 14:20 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.021 | $37.95 |
| 11-01 19:50 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.019 | $66.50 |
| 11-01 17:49 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.019 | $57.00 |
| 11-01 17:47 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.026 | $26.00 |
| 11-01 13:49 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.026 | $78.00 |
| 11-01 12:39 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.026 | $52.00 |
| 11-01 01:32 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.026 | $130.00 |
| 10-31 23:07 | Will Brian Bengs win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.064 | $2.56 |
| 10-31 23:06 | Will Brian Bengs win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.058 | $3.89 |
| 10-31 23:06 | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $14.85 |
| 10-31 17:57 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.026 | $52.00 |
| 10-31 17:57 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.026 | $65.00 |
| 10-27 01:41 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | SELL | 0.48 | $12.00 |
| 10-25 01:35 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.54 | $54.00 |
| 10-21 04:01 | Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $11.02 |