buyrightbake
0x57cd8cad26e2d72dbfb25f2642a486cc374282ac
- Realised P&L
- $16.6k
- Volume
- $2.45M
- Markets traded
- 634
- Open portfolio
- $6.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded634
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.4kat 0.758Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
- +$9.5kat 0.706Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$8.4kat 0.292Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?
- +$5.9kat 0.671Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
- +$5.3kat 0.175Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 22:34 | Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.44 |
| 06-15 05:08 | Spread: Spain (-2.5) | BUY | 0.55 | $27.50 |
| 06-15 05:00 | Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.61 | $48.80 |
| 06-15 05:00 | Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.92 | $92.00 |
| 06-15 03:21 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | SELL | 0.88 | $278.13 |
| 06-15 03:21 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | SELL | 0.882 | $31.75 |
| 06-15 03:21 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | SELL | 0.89 | $21.36 |
| 06-15 03:21 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | SELL | 0.891 | $23.26 |
| 06-15 03:21 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | SELL | 0.892 | $17.84 |
| 06-15 03:15 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? | SELL | 0.12 | $15.78 |
| 06-15 01:43 | Will Australia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.64 | $23.04 |
| 06-15 00:48 | Will DR Congo reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.04 | $2.80 |
| 06-15 00:48 | Will Ivory Coast reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.1 | $3.22 |
| 06-15 00:48 | Will Ghana reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.06 | $3.60 |
| 06-15 00:47 | Will Ghana reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.061 | $3.66 |