PolyBot

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Traders

buyrightbake

0x57cd8cad26e2d72dbfb25f2642a486cc374282ac

Realised P&L
$16.1k
Volume
$2.41M
Markets traded
701
Open portfolio
$10.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded701
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4890.725$3.5k+$1.2k
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.3950.735$1.7k+$798.23
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4610.725$563.28+$204.88
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6500.735$441.00+$51.00
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0260.028$426.25+$23.28
Will the Democratic Party win the CT-01 House seat? · Yes0.9710.986$241.31+$3.70
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 20%-25%? · No0.8180.974$235.80+$37.78
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.7800.945$189.00+$33.00
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 5%-10%? · No0.8120.934$180.26+$23.50
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0190.021$170.30+$8.86
Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat? · Yes0.9600.924$167.24−$6.52
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.3900.535$133.75+$36.25
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 20%-25%? · No0.8340.940$131.56+$14.80
Will the Democratic Party win the NE-02 House seat? · Yes0.9200.930$130.20+$1.40
Closer Senate Race: South Dakota or New Mexico? · South Dakota0.8100.510$96.90−$57.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 14:20Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.021$37.95
11-01 19:50Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.019$66.50
11-01 17:49Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.019$57.00
11-01 17:47Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.026$26.00
11-01 13:49Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.026$78.00
11-01 12:39Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.026$52.00
11-01 01:32Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.026$130.00
10-31 23:07Will Brian Bengs win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?BUY0.064$2.56
10-31 23:06Will Brian Bengs win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?BUY0.058$3.89
10-31 23:06Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?BUY0.27$14.85
10-31 17:57Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.026$52.00
10-31 17:57Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.026$65.00
10-27 01:41US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?SELL0.48$12.00
10-25 01:35US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?BUY0.54$54.00
10-21 04:01Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?SELL0.28$11.02