PolyBot

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Traders

0xb46e1b9f23f20ac9abeb5921bb6f45627c4dc832

0xb46e1b9f23f20ac9abeb5921bb6f45627c4dc832

Realised P&L
$-21.74
Volume
$5.4k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$540.76

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration86.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Blue tsunami in 2026? · Yes0.6950.675$186.30−$5.60
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%? · Yes0.4700.460$73.40−$1.60
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? · Yes0.1840.230$62.62+$12.62
Will the Democrats win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4890.365$55.97−$19.03
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes0.1080.104$48.38−$1.62
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1500.145$48.33−$1.67
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%? · Yes0.1870.165$44.14−$5.86
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio? · Yes0.0070.009$6.07+$1.07
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Maine, and lose Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes0.0040.005$5.55+$0.55
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes0.0100.010$5.00+$0.00
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes0.0100.010$5.00+$0.00
Will Brentford vs. Manchester United end in a draw? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$26.00
Will USA win the 2025 Ryder Cup? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$150.00
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-27? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00−$53.00
Will Kai Cenat hit 1m Twitch subscribers during MAFIATHON 3? · No0.0350.000$0.00−$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 18:14Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%?BUY0.1869228756$50.00
11-01 17:58Will the Democrats win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?BUY0.4891304327$75.00
11-01 17:47Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?BUY0.1836458534$50.00
11-01 17:46Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?BUY0.4699999973$75.00
11-01 09:58Blue tsunami in 2026?BUY0.6952898551$191.90
11-01 09:55Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.01$5.00
11-01 09:55Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Maine, and lose Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.0045029711$5.00
11-01 09:55Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.01$5.00
11-01 09:44Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.1499999997$50.00
11-01 09:43Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio?BUY0.007$5.00
11-01 09:40Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.1080039871$50.00
09-27 18:16Alabama vs. GeorgiaBUY0.56$239.82
09-27 04:41Will Kai Cenat hit 1m Twitch subscribers during MAFIATHON 3?BUY0.0368525882$25.00
09-27 04:41Will Kai Cenat hit 1m Twitch subscribers during MAFIATHON 3?BUY0.0333072088$25.00
09-27 04:34Will Brentford win on 2025-09-27?BUY0.28$28.00