Addarash
0xa2ac9772ec9477f2afc0ead7454014cc6cfc7f76
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $11.6k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $4.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? · Yes | 0.846 | 0.883 | $1.2k | +$52.54 |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? · No | 0.870 | 0.890 | $1.2k | +$26.00 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? · Yes | 0.847 | 0.819 | $757.08 | −$26.23 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.434 | $684.68 | −$669.77 |
| Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? · No | 0.880 | 0.450 | $274.13 | −$261.94 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? · Yes | 0.822 | 0.475 | $226.74 | −$165.64 |
| Will Haley Stevens win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? · Yes | 0.447 | 0.502 | $38.54 | +$4.22 |
| Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? · No | 0.622 | 0.695 | $12.13 | +$1.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$197.01at 0.787Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
- +$-12.03at 0.140Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?
- +$-87.00at 0.310Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 03:15 | Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? | BUY | 0.66 | $5.19 |
| 08-05 03:06 | Will Haley Stevens win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | BUY | 0.46 | $12.31 |
| 08-05 03:06 | Will Haley Stevens win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | BUY | 0.44 | $22.00 |
| 08-05 03:05 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | SELL | 0.48 | $7.49 |
| 08-05 03:05 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | SELL | 0.57 | $20.05 |
| 08-05 03:05 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | SELL | 0.71 | $13.45 |
| 08-05 00:58 | Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? | BUY | 0.59 | $5.66 |
| 08-05 00:23 | Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? | SELL | 0.02 | $6.00 |
| 08-04 11:01 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | BUY | 0.8699999445 | $11.92 |
| 08-03 21:43 | Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | BUY | 0.8699999999 | $1.1k |
| 08-03 21:42 | Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | SELL | 0.13 | $156.39 |
| 08-03 21:41 | Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | BUY | 0.14 | $168.42 |
| 08-03 21:39 | Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | BUY | 0.88 | $536.07 |
| 08-03 21:38 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | BUY | 0.87 | $120.06 |
| 08-03 21:25 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | BUY | 0.85 | $475.85 |