PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Addarash

0xa2ac9772ec9477f2afc0ead7454014cc6cfc7f76

Realised P&L
$-52.2k
Volume
$759.4k
Markets traded
182
Open portfolio
$27.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded182
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.7030.755$12.5k+$860.87
Will Renan Santos win between 2% and 4% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5380.500$8.4k−$629.06
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · Yes0.8300.745$1.7k−$191.10
Will Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0990.122$1.5k+$298.92
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? · Yes0.5750.570$834.85−$7.93
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.4550.505$390.87+$38.70
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 45% and 48% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2620.425$353.08+$135.78
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2700.334$311.93+$59.83
Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election? · Yes0.4900.560$280.00+$35.00
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá? · No0.5240.590$236.89+$26.37
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Yes0.7430.685$217.98−$18.42
Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 47% and 50% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2030.185$189.94−$18.69
Will Augusto Cury win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.7190.785$145.22+$12.13
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá? · Yes0.5500.565$124.30+$3.30
Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election? · No0.5100.570$106.77+$11.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 13:27Will Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.158648229$13.08
10-04 12:59Will Renan Santos win between 2% and 4% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.64$3.20
10-04 12:28Will Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1292109927$12.25
10-04 12:26Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?SELL0.7469395129$525.07
10-04 11:31Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.269990099$136.34
10-04 11:31Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.269$115.76
10-04 11:29Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 47% and 50% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.2096433157$176.33
10-04 11:29Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 47% and 50% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.19$18.33
10-04 11:05Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.46$173.42
10-04 10:57Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.79$165.54
10-04 06:59Will Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1228306913$24.25
10-04 06:07Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.78$868.24
10-04 06:07Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.77$52.67
10-04 04:37Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?BUY0.51$95.53
10-04 04:30Will Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1140964818$67.97