Addarash
0xa2ac9772ec9477f2afc0ead7454014cc6cfc7f76
- Realised P&L
- $-52.2k
- Volume
- $759.4k
- Markets traded
- 182
- Open portfolio
- $27.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded182
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.4kat 0.557Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?
- +$3.2kat 0.391Will Jared Moskowitz win the FL-25 Democratic primary by at least 25%?
- +$2.3kat 0.660Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
- +$2.3kat 0.753Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?
- +$2.1kat 0.622Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 13:27 | Will Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.158648229 | $13.08 |
| 10-04 12:59 | Will Renan Santos win between 2% and 4% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 10-04 12:28 | Will Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1292109927 | $12.25 |
| 10-04 12:26 | Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | SELL | 0.7469395129 | $525.07 |
| 10-04 11:31 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.269990099 | $136.34 |
| 10-04 11:31 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.269 | $115.76 |
| 10-04 11:29 | Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 47% and 50% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2096433157 | $176.33 |
| 10-04 11:29 | Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 47% and 50% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.19 | $18.33 |
| 10-04 11:05 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.46 | $173.42 |
| 10-04 10:57 | Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.79 | $165.54 |
| 10-04 06:59 | Will Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1228306913 | $24.25 |
| 10-04 06:07 | Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.78 | $868.24 |
| 10-04 06:07 | Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.77 | $52.67 |
| 10-04 04:37 | Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election? | BUY | 0.51 | $95.53 |
| 10-04 04:30 | Will Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1140964818 | $67.97 |