PolyBot

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.007. down 0.013 over the period, from 0.020. Range 0.007 to 0.258. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0104444
0.027852
0.028860
0.03797157
0.23120177
0.436235412
0.43710422
0.4445427
0.6001,6002,027
0.6502,2864,313
0.6994004,713
0.7002,6677,379

Spread0.006Mid0.007

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.004142142
0.00360202
0.002100302
0.00143345

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.996142142
0.99760202
0.998100302
0.99943345

Spread0.006Mid0.993

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9904444
0.973852
0.972860
0.96397157
0.76920177
0.564235412
0.56310422
0.5565427
0.4001,6002,027
0.3502,2864,313
0.3014004,713
0.3002,6677,379

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AJSVYes124.42
Numitus1994Yes97.94
LornaPredictsYes57
flexer78Yes48.75
LucerysYes44
Dr.PNLYes20
Mojito9Yes20
843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734.Yes8.21
flagsincircleYes7.79
0x033a…79c9Yes5
KastellvalenYes5
smallreceiptYes3
0xa5ef…2966No397.85
e46m3No34.42
pootytherewardfarmerNo8.94

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
20:01:47BUYNo0.98644444449$8.88
20:01:47BUYNo0.9916845$4.96
20:01:47BUYNo0.997$6.93
07:42:06BUYNo0.99650$49.80
07:42:04BUYNo0.99650$49.80
07:42:04BUYNo0.99610$9.96
04:48:03BUYNo0.99520$19.90
01:05:28SELLYes0.01220$0.24
17:37:03SELLYes0.0120$0.20
04:27:06SELLYes0.02620$0.52
21:17:16SELLYes0.02629$0.75
21:16:54SELLYes0.03540$1.40
21:16:28SELLYes0.0379$0.32
21:16:27BUYNo0.96320$19.26
21:16:27BUYNo0.96216$15.39
21:16:27BUYNo0.9625$4.81
21:16:27BUYNo0.96234$32.71
21:16:25BUYNo0.96210$9.62
21:16:25BUYNo0.96233$31.51
21:15:33BUYNo0.96240$38.48
03:26:55BUYNo0.96420$19.28
01:09:33BUYNo0.9645$4.82
01:09:33BUYNo0.96412$11.57
19:57:21SELLNo0.955366275129$27.65
19:57:03BUYYes0.03829$1.10