PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% in September?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-30
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.024. down 0.176 over the period, from 0.200. Range 0.005 to 0.230. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.03977
0.050500507
0.12010517
0.24080597
0.46020617
0.9446623
0.94522645
0.9896651
0.9908659
0.99710,74311,402
0.9981,03012,432
0.9992,09714,529

Spread0.030Mid0.024

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0091111
0.0054354
0.004257311
0.00361372
0.002108480
0.00110,42410,903

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9911111
0.9954354
0.996257311
0.99761372
0.998108480
0.99910,42410,903

Spread0.030Mid0.976

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.96177
0.950500507
0.88010517
0.76080597
0.54020617
0.0566623
0.05522645
0.0116651
0.0108659
0.00310,74311,402
0.0021,03012,432
0.0012,09714,529

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Vagabund97Yes782.56
Dr.PNLYes572.78
2B9SYes137.92
plytest2Yes130.54
FihdrzgddYes125
tradetosurvive1Yes81
GuyFromTinderYes72
HerrieDavisYes63.03
ply-h-profit-has-winpriceYes41.23
AJSVYes28.55
maomao228Yes20.48
Miaomi666Yes20
rar111Yes9.9
bjproloYes8
trade333Yes7.08
IUSEBOTYes5
HDGBNo1,058.68
commeowderNo817.79
title1No200
LMBYNo10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
18:14:46BUYYes0.029999999846$1.37
17:15:28BUYYes0.00610$0.06
15:57:41SELLYes0.0126$0.26
15:57:31SELLYes0.0182$0.82
09:43:12SELLYes0.02141650$1.07
09:43:11BUYNo0.95337$319.84
00:55:25BUYNo0.92481$442.63
23:54:44SELLNo0.940$36.00
12:36:18BUYNo0.9310$9.30
21:33:41SELLYes0.0730$2.10
05:33:15SELLYes0.0718$1.26
23:33:06SELLNo0.9177$70.07
21:31:21SELLNo0.9117$15.47
21:24:31SELLNo0.915$4.55
21:24:16SELLNo0.9110$9.10
20:18:40SELLNo0.9149$44.89
18:11:04SELLYes0.0840$3.20
15:51:49BUYNo0.865$4.30
15:51:42BUYNo0.983$3.36
15:51:42BUYNo0.8603579931,059$910.84
14:34:09BUYNo0.8120$16.20
14:34:06BUYNo0.890$72.00
13:54:35SELLNo0.8220$16.40
13:40:09SELLNo0.8320$16.60
13:40:08BUYYes0.1630$4.80