PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Polimaki

0x98a88cd1518213bd2d0e65f40dd7a67a9c2ca47b

Realised P&L
$-12.4k
Volume
$811.3k
Markets traded
10,374
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10,374
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration3.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-02 House seat? · No0.4400.425$21.25−$0.75
United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 83% to 84%? · No0.8600.901$18.02+$0.82
Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial second round by less than 3%? · No0.9080.837$16.73−$1.43
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%? · No0.8500.775$15.55−$1.51
James Comey charges dropped by December 31? · Yes0.7700.370$14.42−$15.58
Will Aaron Gunn win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? · No0.8300.720$14.40−$2.20
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting? · No0.7100.715$14.31+$0.10
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon Senate election by 30%-35%? · No0.7240.695$13.90−$0.58
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-05 House election by 50%-55%? · Yes0.3900.325$13.00−$2.60
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18? · No0.7100.645$12.90−$1.30
Will Gregor Kobel (Dortmund) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Bundesliga season? · No0.8260.641$12.82−$3.70
Will Juventus qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League? · No0.7400.640$12.80−$2.00
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-05 House election by 20%-25%? · No0.7300.635$12.70−$1.90
Will the Democrats win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026? · Yes0.8800.635$12.70−$4.90
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 900,000 and 975,000? · No0.8000.630$12.60−$3.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 11:29Will the Indiana Pacers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?BUY0.3499999974$6.81
10-11 11:28Will Jacob Misiorowski lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in strikeouts?BUY0.15$1.65
10-11 11:27Will Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run before 2027?BUY0.8779999966$17.55
10-11 11:27Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-08 House election by 9%-12%?BUY0.84$16.80
10-11 11:21Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-10 House election by 0%-3%?BUY0.8$16.00
10-11 11:17Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-24 House election by 55% or more?BUY0.8$16.00
10-11 11:16Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8699999675$17.41
10-11 11:11Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-04 House election by 30% or more?BUY0.3931496721$15.72
10-11 11:11Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-04 House election by 20%-25%?BUY0.92$18.39
10-11 11:05Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-04 House election by 40%-45%?BUY0.26$5.20
10-11 10:53Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon Senate election by 15%-20%?BUY0.84$16.80
10-11 10:42Will Chao Yi Wang qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?BUY0.8199999863$8.35
10-11 10:40Will the Democratic Party win the TX-28 House seat?BUY0.8899999969$8.52
10-11 10:39Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,146,000 and $1,165,000 on December 31?BUY0.88$17.60
10-11 10:39Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,104,000 and $1,125,000 on December 31?BUY0.815$16.30