Polimaki
0x98a88cd1518213bd2d0e65f40dd7a67a9c2ca47b
- Realised P&L
- $-12.4k
- Volume
- $811.3k
- Markets traded
- 10,374
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10,374
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$89.40at 0.240Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
- +$83.67at 0.239Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?
- +$80.81at 0.100LAPTOP listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?
- +$79.07at 0.110Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?
- +$78.01at 0.120Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 11:29 | Will the Indiana Pacers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.3499999974 | $6.81 |
| 10-11 11:28 | Will Jacob Misiorowski lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in strikeouts? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.65 |
| 10-11 11:27 | Will Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.8779999966 | $17.55 |
| 10-11 11:27 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-08 House election by 9%-12%? | BUY | 0.84 | $16.80 |
| 10-11 11:21 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-10 House election by 0%-3%? | BUY | 0.8 | $16.00 |
| 10-11 11:17 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-24 House election by 55% or more? | BUY | 0.8 | $16.00 |
| 10-11 11:16 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999675 | $17.41 |
| 10-11 11:11 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-04 House election by 30% or more? | BUY | 0.3931496721 | $15.72 |
| 10-11 11:11 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-04 House election by 20%-25%? | BUY | 0.92 | $18.39 |
| 10-11 11:05 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-04 House election by 40%-45%? | BUY | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 10-11 10:53 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon Senate election by 15%-20%? | BUY | 0.84 | $16.80 |
| 10-11 10:42 | Will Chao Yi Wang qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? | BUY | 0.8199999863 | $8.35 |
| 10-11 10:40 | Will the Democratic Party win the TX-28 House seat? | BUY | 0.8899999969 | $8.52 |
| 10-11 10:39 | Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,146,000 and $1,165,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $17.60 |
| 10-11 10:39 | Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,104,000 and $1,125,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.815 | $16.30 |