LMBY
0x6643279a36ac2f9cae3d637412f907527bcdd6cb
- Realised P&L
- $-4.82
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 276
- Open portfolio
- $364.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded276
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration2.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.01at 0.785Will France win on 2026-06-30?
- +$1.12at 0.775Will England win on 2026-07-01?
- +$1.00at 0.900Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?
- +$1.00at 0.900BNB Up or Down on August 15?
- +$0.96at 0.904Will Andy Burnham say "Speaker" 10+ times during the next PMQ?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 10:17 | Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $8.5B by September 30? | BUY | 0.97 | $9.70 |
| 09-18 10:16 | Will Trump say "Terror" or "Terrorism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.00 |
| 09-18 10:16 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.993 | $9.93 |
| 09-18 06:11 | Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-18 06:11 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.993 | $9.93 |
| 09-18 06:11 | Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $145B by September 30? | SELL | 0.997 | $7.98 |
| 09-18 06:11 | Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by September 30? | SELL | 0.997 | $4.20 |
| 09-18 01:52 | Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $145B by September 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $7.92 |
| 09-18 01:52 | Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by September 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.17 |
| 09-18 01:52 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.125T by September 30? | BUY | 0.968 | $9.68 |
| 09-18 01:52 | Will Russia capture Havrylivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-18 01:52 | Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-18 01:51 | Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.975 | $9.75 |
| 09-18 01:51 | Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by September 30? | BUY | 0.988 | $9.88 |
| 09-18 01:51 | Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |