PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.10% before 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.12. down 0.03 over the period, from 0.14. Range 0.10 to 0.14. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.121,0631,063
0.135961,659
0.142811,940
0.151002,040
0.9682,048
0.97602,108
0.99152,123

Spread0.01Mid0.11

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.11161161
0.1050211
0.08620831
0.0147878

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.89161161
0.9050211
0.92620831
0.9947878

Spread0.01Mid0.89

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.881,0631,063
0.875961,659
0.862811,940
0.851002,040
0.0482,048
0.03602,108
0.01152,123

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
rocky42018Yes200.91
GuyFromTinderYes149.59
pootytherewardfarmerYes98
0x0174…95b0Yes83.33
2B9SYes42.21
frontiertradeYes30
SlackjawYes20
AJSVYes10.79
a5533Yes10
xd.kwokYes5
0x1ef0…e28eYes2
0xbada…d874Yes1.06
bechamelYes1
chessplayerNo295.56
ArmageddonRewardsBillyNo221.67
lissartterNo112.1
tradetosurvive1No20
fi5hNo5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:44:10SELLNo0.8850$44.00
21:32:55SELLNo0.88137$120.45
22:43:18BUYYes0.11999999983$10.00
18:21:46SELLYes0.11200$22.00
12:08:57SELLNo0.8820$17.77
06:16:10SELLNo0.889$7.92
19:16:33BUYNo0.8950$44.50
12:43:15SELLNo0.8821$18.48
14:50:28BUYYes0.1220$2.40
07:40:13BUYNo0.86999983995$4.51
07:40:10SELLYes0.1325$3.28
06:19:28BUYNo0.8720$17.57
03:12:28SELLNo0.863$2.66
19:49:34BUYNo0.8730$26.10
18:04:55BUYNo0.7740327294137$105.95
12:22:34SELLYes0.231$0.13
23:13:55SELLNo0.76242$183.68
18:50:42SELLNo0.7630$22.80
17:04:09SELLNo0.760$0.21
17:04:06SELLNo0.760$0.21
16:38:57SELLYes0.232$0.38
12:50:51BUYYes0.239999992321$5.00
12:50:49BUYYes0.239999996322$5.20
12:50:48SELLNo0.7640$30.40
05:20:36SELLNo0.76119$90.44