0x0174866ddd66ac8ae37cd92be5552e8a035795b0
0x0174866ddd66ac8ae37cd92be5552e8a035795b0
- Realised P&L
- $57.65
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $451.00
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.05at 0.308Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 12 2026?
- +$21.98at 0.319Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$17.52at 0.369Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
- +$15.64at 0.390Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in September 2026?
- +$13.26at 0.430Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:04 | Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 11:41 | Will Trump speak to Elon Musk by November 30? | BUY | 0.5899999841 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 12:52 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October? | BUY | 0.539999986 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 14:54 | Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? | BUY | 0.599999988 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 11:39 | Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $10.00 |
| 10-27 05:43 | Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $10.00 |
| 10-27 05:43 | Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-25 19:40 | Will Claude go down 8-10 times in October? | BUY | 0.2289999962 | $10.00 |
| 10-25 05:20 | Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 30% or higher? | BUY | 0.299999994 | $10.00 |
| 10-22 14:38 | Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.5499999753 | $10.00 |
| 10-22 09:31 | Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 19:28 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-04 House election by 50%-55%? | BUY | 0.2599999964 | $10.00 |
| 10-20 01:43 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.459999988 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 23:22 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 22:20 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $175 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $10.00 |