0x0174866ddd66ac8ae37cd92be5552e8a035795b0
- Realised P&L
- $4.58
- Volume
- $166.67
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $34.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration45.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.285 | $15.83 | +$5.83 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.10% before 2027? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.115 | $9.58 | −$0.42 |
| Will Bruce Blakeman win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.330 | $9.17 | −$0.83 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 07:35 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 03:20 | Will Bruce Blakeman win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 22:43 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.10% before 2027? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $10.00 |