PolyBot

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Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.74. up 0.09 over the period, from 0.65. Range 0.31 to 0.80. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.789292
0.7993185
0.939194
0.98128322
0.998330

Spread0.07Mid0.74

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.718686
0.6621107
0.6210117
0.5416133
0.4750183
0.4675258
0.45200458
0.1920478
0.1229507
0.1149556
0.0967623
0.0461684

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.298686
0.3421107
0.3810117
0.4616133
0.5350183
0.5475258
0.55200458
0.8120478
0.8829507
0.8949556
0.9167623
0.9661684

Spread0.07Mid0.26

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.229292
0.2193185
0.079194
0.02128322
0.018330

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
title1Yes121
FihdrzgddYes32.86
SuperTestsYes22
lissartterYes20.82
0x78c0…b3caYes20
frontiertradeYes20
0xc91507aC5B25E4385F6eEb0537B31f07FfE5479b-1780899090000Yes20
Hochul325Yes6
youtube-traderNo101.35
AJSVNo45.3
pootytherewardfarmerNo25
gthdtrlij549y89No20
xixihaha009No18.87
tradetosurvive1No17.28
Silverf1502No16.2
littlebus50No10
spacexstarNo5
Savannah40No3.5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
22:30:19BUYYes0.6222$13.60
22:21:55SELLNo0.3819$7.22
21:01:46SELLNo0.356$2.12
21:01:45SELLNo0.3510$3.50
21:01:45SELLNo0.359$3.20
20:22:42BUYNo0.2372$16.56
14:57:01SELLYes0.75415$11.31
14:56:39BUYNo0.2215$3.30
14:46:52BUYNo0.179999989910$1.79
14:46:52BUYNo0.1810$1.80
14:45:34SELLNo0.1420$2.80
14:38:04BUYNo0.29$1.83
14:35:40BUYNo0.219$3.80
12:50:49SELLYes0.5925$14.75
12:24:00SELLYes0.5911$6.41
12:20:49SELLYes0.5910$5.90
12:20:36SELLYes0.495$2.45
12:20:28SELLYes0.4915$7.35
12:20:01SELLYes0.485$2.40
11:36:10SELLYes0.4823$11.04
11:36:06SELLYes0.4820$9.60
11:29:46BUYYes0.489999982420$10.00
11:29:45BUYYes0.48121$58.08
09:00:42SELLNo0.5220$10.40
08:51:27SELLYes0.4710$4.70