littlebus50
0x4677c7363f090c99a6e2747d79f41d4ac0bcff92
- Realised P&L
- $-52.43
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $2.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027? · No | 0.380 | 0.270 | $2.70 | −$1.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.22at 0.310Wake Forest vs. Virginia
- +$5.30at 0.456Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?
- +$5.04at 0.470Blue Jackets vs. Kraken
- +$4.54at 0.620Hawks vs. Kings
- +$4.37at 0.229Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 05:53 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $8.82 |
| 09-12 11:08 | Will Esperidião Amin win the second-most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election? | SELL | 0.29 | $6.09 |
| 09-04 20:12 | Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? | SELL | 0.22 | $5.54 |
| 08-30 20:04 | Will Simon Yu win the 2026 Prince George mayoral election? | SELL | 0.46 | $5.98 |
| 08-28 01:44 | Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $6.15 |
| 08-25 00:03 | Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.39 | $8.19 |
| 08-23 20:43 | Will Gladson Camelí win the second-most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.52 |
| 08-21 12:24 | Will RNI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? | SELL | 0.49 | $10.29 |
| 08-19 06:46 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.12 |
| 08-19 05:42 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins? | SELL | 0.48 | $9.60 |
| 08-18 02:53 | Will Emerson Nolasco Delgado win the next Huancayo mayoral elections? | SELL | 0.29 | $6.09 |
| 08-17 03:10 | Will Cruz Pérez Cuéllar win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election? | SELL | 0.31 | $5.77 |
| 08-10 09:53 | Will Ulises Mejía Haro win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election? | SELL | 0.52 | $9.36 |
| 07-25 14:23 | Over $40M committed to the RipCars public sale? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.76 |
| 07-19 19:23 | Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.447 | $4.98 |