Silverf1502
0x9270dbbbbf340fe0e76f500d596ac45110c22b5f
- Realised P&L
- $-38.80
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $14.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.730 | $9.92 | +$0.27 |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027? · No | 0.350 | 0.270 | $4.37 | −$1.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.96at 0.400Trail Blazers vs. Mavericks
- +$5.61at 0.400Suns vs. Clippers
- +$5.14at 0.440Will John Kelly win the next Hobart mayoral election?
- +$5.03at 0.480Flames vs. Blackhawks
- +$3.37at 0.500Kings vs. Canadiens
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 08:03 | Will Raphael Warnock vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.127 | $3.20 |
| 09-14 20:26 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.61 | $12.81 |
| 09-11 08:34 | Will Carlos Viana win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election? | SELL | 0.13 | $3.28 |
| 09-08 20:38 | Will John Kelly win the next Hobart mayoral election? | SELL | 0.6 | $11.51 |
| 09-05 10:11 | Will Chris Lynch win the next Burnie mayoral election? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.51 |
| 09-04 11:50 | Will Khathutshelo Rasilingwane be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni? | SELL | 0.372 | $6.70 |
| 09-01 04:34 | Will Khathutshelo Rasilingwane be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni? | SELL | 0.426 | $8.52 |
| 08-29 10:29 | Will Khathutshelo Rasilingwane be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni? | SELL | 0.737 | $14.74 |
| 08-27 19:30 | Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in September? | SELL | 0.41 | $8.61 |
| 08-25 07:16 | Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31? | SELL | 0.26 | $5.46 |
| 08-23 21:41 | Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election? | SELL | 0.33 | $1.13 |
| 08-22 08:00 | Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes? | SELL | 0.3 | $6.49 |
| 08-19 07:03 | Will Emerson Nolasco Delgado win the next Huancayo mayoral elections? | SELL | 0.43 | $9.03 |
| 08-18 05:11 | Will Hesai be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.18 | $4.54 |
| 11-18 19:45 | Flames vs. Blackhawks | BUY | 0.4799999793 | $4.64 |