Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.40% in October?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.65. up 0.33 over the period, from 0.32. Range 0.27 to 0.77. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.70	62	62
0.92	1,000	1,062
0.93	5	1,067
0.95	157	1,224
0.96	250	1,474
0.97	417	1,890
0.98	625	2,515
0.99	1,441	3,956

Spread0.10Mid0.65

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.60	83	83
0.59	25	108
0.58	100	208
0.15	20	228
0.10	14	242
0.09	280	522
0.05	6	528
0.04	250	778
0.03	417	1,195
0.02	625	1,820
0.01	1,444	3,264

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.40	83	83
0.41	25	108
0.42	100	208
0.85	20	228
0.90	14	242
0.91	280	522
0.95	6	528
0.96	250	778
0.97	417	1,195
0.98	625	1,820
0.99	1,444	3,264

Spread0.10Mid0.35

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.30	62	62
0.08	1,000	1,062
0.07	5	1,067
0.05	157	1,224
0.04	250	1,474
0.03	417	1,890
0.02	625	2,515
0.01	1,441	3,956

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Gaditima	Yes	350
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938	Yes	75.51
tradetosurvive1	Yes	34.02
cigarettes	Yes	31.02
grinder1011	Yes	22.03
youtube-trader	Yes	20
Tallguy2527	Yes	20
micaudn	Yes	11.43
pppnn	Yes	9
financegaaaydog	Yes	4.8
0x40C73F1916fbd495f8117Dc5755561aD778CB1E8-1782111633519	Yes	2.97
AJSV	No	216.24
Kristerkb	No	93.58
johnashbough	No	85.98
infoowl	No	80
GuyFromTinder	No	21
ImSweating	No	20
bonalddrunk	No	20
0x51ae4fd822503E81Be9eA9d5D5E76500C309CE30-1760263931291	No	20
MrYanDao	No	15

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
22:00:11	SELL	Yes	0.16	1	$0.16
21:59:36	SELL	Yes	0.53	1	$0.53
14:00:35	SELL	Yes	0.6	5	$2.88
14:00:00	BUY	No	0.4	5	$1.92
18:01:23	SELL	No	0.11	2	$0.22
18:00:45	SELL	No	0.3	2	$0.61
10:09:51	BUY	Yes	0.64	2	$1.30
16:21:48	BUY	No	0.37	11	$4.23
15:36:24	BUY	Yes	0.7	11	$8.00
02:35:57	BUY	No	0.38	100	$38.00
23:36:45	BUY	No	0.43	39	$16.77
22:31:55	BUY	No	0.42	20	$8.40
21:00:47	BUY	No	0.4	5	$2.00
12:56:05	BUY	Yes	0.74	37	$27.02
12:56:05	BUY	Yes	0.7317396	250	$182.93
11:27:44	SELL	No	0.59	35	$20.63
10:47:18	SELL	No	0.27	1	$0.18
06:14:31	BUY	No	0.61	35	$21.31
04:44:52	BUY	No	0.6	78	$46.74
03:26:48	BUY	No	0.61	14	$8.66
03:26:47	SELL	No	0.65	15	$9.65
03:26:47	BUY	Yes	0.4	14	$5.68
03:26:41	SELL	No	0.65	35	$22.65
00:05:53	BUY	No	0.66	15	$9.90
22:17:10	SELL	No	0.66	35	$23.17