micaudn
0x5bb909a2aa75cac85895486238141073b6827094
- Realised P&L
- $-51.04
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $53.85
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)27.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.66at 0.924Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.46% in October?
- +$0.22at 0.933Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in October?
- +$0.13at 0.848Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Goiás?
- +$-1.08at 0.218Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% in October?
- +$-2.79at 0.382Will Seoul have between 50-70mm of precipitation in October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 15:38 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18? | BUY | 0.9307605714 | $93.30 |
| 10-17 15:38 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% in October? | SELL | 0.19 | $5.71 |
| 10-16 15:36 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.40% in October? | BUY | 0.7 | $8.00 |
| 10-16 14:01 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in October? | SELL | 0.979 | $4.89 |
| 10-16 12:40 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.85% in October? | BUY | 0.069 | $6.21 |
| 10-16 12:35 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.43% in October? | SELL | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 10-16 03:20 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.14% in October? | BUY | 0.7099999769 | $8.00 |
| 10-16 00:04 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in October? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 10-16 00:01 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.30% in October? | BUY | 0.18 | $0.90 |
| 10-15 14:34 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.43% in October? | BUY | 0.9 | $8.00 |
| 10-15 14:34 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.46% in October? | BUY | 0.92 | $8.00 |
| 10-15 14:34 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% in October? | BUY | 0.21 | $6.31 |