PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x51ae4fd822503E81Be9eA9d5D5E76500C309CE30-1760263931291

0x51ae4fd822503e81be9ea9d5d5e76500c309ce30

Realised P&L
$-754.48
Volume
$250.9k
Markets traded
859
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded859
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 18:39Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have 163 or more seats after the 2026 election?SELL0.4$2.00
09-17 16:29Kraken IPO by June 30, 2027?BUY0.49$9.85
09-17 14:16Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have between 158 and 162 seats after the 2026 election?SELL0.12$6.26
09-17 13:28Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?SELL0.24$1.92
09-17 08:59Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have 163 or more seats after the 2026 election?BUY0.38$21.17
09-17 04:14Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.934$186.80
09-17 01:37Will the opposition parties win by 3–4 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?SELL0.025$1.25
09-17 01:37Will the opposition parties win by 1–2 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?SELL0.0131148$0.33
09-16 13:51Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?SELL0.41$8.20
09-16 12:35Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026?SELL0.12$14.40
09-16 10:43Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?SELL0.989$9.89
09-16 10:42Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.78$238.68
09-16 10:41Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.77$23.10
09-16 10:25Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.76$19.00
09-16 10:24Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.76$19.00