PolyBot

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Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.09% in September?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-30

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.023. down 0.238 over the period, from 0.261. Range 0.013 to 0.261. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.03677
0.0485057
0.070100157
0.49025182
0.98313195
0.98414209
0.9897216
0.9908224
0.99620244
0.99710,00010,244
0.9992410,268

Spread0.026Mid0.023

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.01088
0.00393101
0.002211312
0.001113424

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.99088
0.99793101
0.998211312
0.999113424

Spread0.026Mid0.977

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.96477
0.9525057
0.930100157
0.51025182
0.01713195
0.01614209
0.0117216
0.0108224
0.00420244
0.00310,00010,244
0.0012410,268

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
GuyFromTinderYes100
MrYanDaoYes94.99
0x0E0CCAC09d376C89965cfc57fB468312224Da963-1762089905862Yes92.2
LornaPredictsYes88.79
AJSVYes50.87
HDGBYes50
frontiertradeYes36.76
rar111Yes25
lifeisahighwayYes20
intelligence98Yes7.8
Adventure142No298.51
grinder1011No170.31
whispercatalystNo50.59
tradetosurvive1No17.54
walkwithyourboyNo14.9
0x4015AEAA3f46A054ea717Cd140a85e206971f4A9-1780774672439No10
0x6b25…7a69No5.39

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
11:37:57SELLNo0.96510$9.65
15:20:40BUYYes0.01150$0.55
00:30:39BUYYes0.02750$1.36
23:52:43SELLYes0.03451$1.73
23:52:01BUYYes0.03742$1.55
23:51:58BUYYes0.036999999951$1.88
19:14:33BUYNo0.96650$48.30
15:52:11SELLYes0.0320$0.01
15:24:36BUYNo0.964100$96.40
04:33:31BUYNo0.96770$67.99
15:29:12SELLYes0.03818$0.70
12:13:36BUYNo0.91484686945$4.93
12:13:36BUYNo0.908999996915$13.64
11:59:12SELLNo0.7681$0.45
17:55:04SELLNo0.5812$0.92
03:13:31SELLNo0.0442$0.07
20:56:00BUYYes0.0525$1.25
16:59:48BUYYes0.0560$3.00
16:59:36BUYYes0.0550$2.50
16:30:15SELLNo0.9330$28.00
16:28:06SELLYes0.065007511320$1.30
16:03:04SELLNo0.8320$16.60
16:01:51SELLNo0.8740$34.77
16:01:12SELLNo0.8334$28.22
15:33:36SELLYes0.3323$7.59