0x4015AEAA3f46A054ea717Cd140a85e206971f4A9-1780774672439
0x4015aeaa3f46a054ea717cd140a85e206971f4a9
- Realised P&L
- $261.24
- Volume
- $12.6k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $3.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)89.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.90at 0.562Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$34.30at 0.863Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
- +$25.04at 0.165SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 25?
- +$23.21at 0.699S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 22?
- +$20.02at 0.814S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 18:30 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% before 2027? | BUY | 0.59 | $59.00 |
| 09-17 22:24 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027? | BUY | 0.96325 | $96.33 |
| 09-17 15:05 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027? | BUY | 0.955 | $14.32 |
| 09-17 13:47 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | SELL | 0.8 | $160.00 |
| 09-16 18:15 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.943 | $47.15 |
| 09-16 02:36 | Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.973 | $19.46 |
| 09-14 21:22 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% in September? | BUY | 0.85 | $42.50 |
| 09-14 16:00 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $19.50 |
| 08-12 03:10 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 12? | BUY | 0.62 | $24.80 |
| 08-07 20:49 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $176.00 |
| 08-07 20:47 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $82.50 |
| 08-07 20:40 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $182.00 |
| 08-07 20:37 | Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31? | SELL | 0.74 | $110.26 |
| 08-05 01:22 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.88 | $88.00 |
| 08-05 01:22 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.88 | $88.00 |