PolyBot

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Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 900B and 1T?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2027-02-28

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.13. down 0.01 over the period, from 0.14. Range 0.13 to 0.16. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.192626
0.204974
0.30100174
0.40100274
0.5585359
0.5625384
0.6815399
0.6925424
0.7025449
0.7130479
0.7950529
0.8010539

Spread0.12Mid0.13

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.074040
0.06545
0.0355100
0.02276376
0.01416793

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.934040
0.94545
0.9755100
0.98276376
0.99416793

Spread0.12Mid0.87

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.812626
0.804974
0.70100174
0.60100274
0.4585359
0.4425384
0.3215399
0.3125424
0.3025449
0.2930479
0.2150529
0.2010539

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
S888Yes302.14
cry.eth2Yes80.81
AJSVYes29.03
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes25.71
FoolAndHisMoneyYes20
Hugin-og-MuninYes20
Raketa09Yes17.92
alidfYes12.77
0xb032…c16cYes11.36
gonnakilmyslfYes10
giochiYes10
ffsFsfqYes10
ng1710Yes7.14
human.beanYes5.01
10gukjgjhghYes4.81
jesus-roosterYes3.4
0x6868…2d12Yes3.13
Mojito9Yes1.62
0xa5ef…2966No466.21
CompulsiveGamblerNo61.36

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
01:07:06SELLYes0.0740$2.80
19:19:06SELLNo0.861$49.09
09:55:33SELLYes0.0710$0.70
18:15:46SELLYes0.07700280117$0.55
16:09:30BUYYes0.125$0.60
08:48:50SELLYes0.138571428635$4.85
14:18:26BUYNo0.8410$8.40
08:32:46BUYNo0.718$5.68
08:32:46BUYYes0.2410$2.40
08:29:30SELLYes0.2832$8.96
08:29:16BUYYes0.2340$9.20
18:17:49BUYYes0.115047030437$4.28
16:39:12BUYYes0.110$1.00
16:39:09BUYYes0.120$2.00
16:33:04BUYYes0.0818$1.42
16:16:30SELLYes0.086792286479$6.89
14:13:43SELLNo0.886$5.22
16:29:44SELLYes0.101818181855$5.60
17:02:56SELLNo0.749$6.43
17:02:53SELLNo0.749$6.43
16:42:50BUYNo0.99$7.67
16:42:49BUYNo0.97$6.71
16:42:47BUYNo0.98$7.13
01:33:23SELLYes0.095$0.45
18:24:06BUYYes0.6999999727$5.00