PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

giochi

0xcd96b01fac6276ac3d8ad618dacca0d3592f11a3

Realised P&L
$-3.7k
Volume
$491.7k
Markets traded
18,937
Open portfolio
$572.75

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18,937
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
CautionProfit concentration47.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Chattanooga Red Wolves SC win on 2026-08-01? · Yes0.4100.598$72.94+$22.94
Will Sarasota Paradise win on 2026-08-01? · Yes0.4600.515$55.98+$5.98
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Doosan Bears · NC Dinos0.5800.485$41.81$8.19
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by December 31? · No0.2550.950$14.92+$10.92
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $32.5B by December 31? · No0.6900.865$13.78+$2.78
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1191.000$12.25+$10.79
Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. FC Universitatea Cluj end in a draw? · No0.7100.625$11.00$1.50
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open? · Yes0.0931.000$10.75+$9.75
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%? · Yes0.1930.938$9.74+$7.74
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.1600.968$6.05+$5.05
Will Cap dip to $0.01 before 2027? · No0.3000.885$5.90+$3.90
Will LAB reach $22 before 2027? · No0.7170.940$3.62+$0.86
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.7840.838$3.20+$0.20
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.3700.555$3.00+$1.00
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026? · Yes0.1000.285$2.85+$1.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 18:17Set Handicap: Shang (-1.5) vs Darderi (+1.5)BUY0.52$1.00
08-06 18:16FK Austria Wien vs. MH Beitar Jerusalem: Draw at halftime?BUY0.9399999624$1.00
08-06 18:14Warsaw: Elizara Yaneva vs Gabriela KnutsonBUY0.6199999981$20.00
08-06 18:14Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-06?BUY0.889999911$1.00
08-06 18:11National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng ShangBUY0.4799999952$20.00
08-06 18:10LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs BIG - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.92$1.00
08-06 18:09Will FC St. Gallen win on 2026-08-06?BUY0.52$1.00
08-06 18:09Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)BUY0.7299998102$1.00
08-06 18:08National Bank Open: Mariano Navone vs Arthur FilsBUY0.25$1.00
08-06 18:07Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5BUY0.55$1.00
08-06 18:05National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng ShangBUY0.4799998272$1.00
08-06 18:00National Bank Open: Mariano Navone vs Arthur FilsBUY0.79$8.89
08-06 17:59Will Al Arabi Doha SC win on 2026-08-06?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
08-06 17:59Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: Team to AdvanceBUY0.8$1.00
08-06 17:59Ferencvarosi Budapest vs. Real Madrid: O/U 3.5BUY0.92$1.00