PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

giochi

0xcd96b01fac6276ac3d8ad618dacca0d3592f11a3

Realised P&L
$-7.4k
Volume
$490.5k
Markets traded
18,937
Open portfolio
$267.63

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18,937
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by December 31? · No0.2550.961$15.09+$11.09
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $32.5B by December 31? · No0.6900.833$13.27+$2.27
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%? · Yes0.1930.860$8.93+$6.93
Will Cap dip to $0.01 before 2027? · No0.3000.905$6.03+$4.03
Will Symbiotic launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1100.630$5.73+$4.73
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.3700.986$5.33+$3.33
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026? · Yes0.1000.531$5.31+$4.31
Perena FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.0600.275$4.57+$3.57
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%? · Yes0.2130.455$4.26+$2.26
Will LAB reach $22 before 2027? · No0.7170.965$3.72+$0.96
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.7840.940$3.59+$0.59
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.1190.422$2.92+$2.10
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.6760.969$2.86+$0.86
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31? · No0.6790.942$2.77+$0.77
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%? · Yes0.3500.956$2.73+$1.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 18:17Set Handicap: Shang (-1.5) vs Darderi (+1.5)BUY0.52$1.00
08-06 18:16FK Austria Wien vs. MH Beitar Jerusalem: Draw at halftime?BUY0.9399999624$1.00
08-06 18:14Warsaw: Elizara Yaneva vs Gabriela KnutsonBUY0.6199999981$20.00
08-06 18:14Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-06?BUY0.889999911$1.00
08-06 18:11National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng ShangBUY0.4799999952$20.00
08-06 18:10LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs BIG - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.92$1.00
08-06 18:09Will FC St. Gallen win on 2026-08-06?BUY0.52$1.00
08-06 18:09Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)BUY0.7299998102$1.00
08-06 18:08National Bank Open: Mariano Navone vs Arthur FilsBUY0.25$1.00
08-06 18:07Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5BUY0.55$1.00
08-06 18:05National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng ShangBUY0.4799998272$1.00
08-06 18:00National Bank Open: Mariano Navone vs Arthur FilsBUY0.79$8.89
08-06 17:59Will Al Arabi Doha SC win on 2026-08-06?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
08-06 17:59Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: Team to AdvanceBUY0.8$1.00
08-06 17:59Ferencvarosi Budapest vs. Real Madrid: O/U 3.5BUY0.92$1.00