0x6868250eed0c51b22c289f2be4909a1785642d12
- Realised P&L
- $-22.51
- Volume
- $178.11
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $2.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.055 | $1.62 | −$3.38 |
| Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 900B and 1T? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.125 | $0.39 | −$1.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.69at 0.260Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$0.57at 0.779Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?
- +$-1.03at 0.257Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?
- +$-1.03at 0.216Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?
- +$-1.03at 0.088Will Mirra Andreeva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 05:32 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2759999809 | $8.32 |
| 06-20 06:46 | Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0899999804 | $4.00 |
| 06-20 06:43 | Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.209999959 | $4.00 |
| 06-20 06:41 | Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 06-12 08:11 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 08:11 | Will Mirra Andreeva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | BUY | 0.0849999286 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 08:10 | Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 05-13 17:12 | Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 900B and 1T? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 05-13 17:08 | Starmer out by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999272 | $2.00 |
| 05-13 17:07 | Starmer out by May 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 04-22 18:39 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 04-18 14:21 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.2599999272 | $2.00 |
| 04-18 14:18 | Will Daniel Ennis win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election? | BUY | 0.2599998813 | $1.49 |