PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

10gukjgjhgh

0x4c4ed99ced89e29721416b19d9f3b6c97cd4b978

Realised P&L
$-65.35
Volume
$1.69M
Markets traded
6,730
Open portfolio
$21.48

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,730
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.2700.835$3.64+$2.47
Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22? · No0.7540.953$3.14+$0.65
Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? · Yes0.3040.905$3.01+$2.00
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.0800.785$2.05+$1.84
Will Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan be arrested in 2026? · Yes0.3000.371$1.92+$0.37
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.4500.500$1.86+$0.19
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? · No0.3380.976$1.67+$1.09
Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026? · Yes0.1410.329$1.37+$0.78
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · Yes0.3100.165$0.64$0.57
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 900B and 1T? · Yes0.2700.130$0.63$0.67
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 · Pacquiao0.3400.495$0.49+$0.15
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? · Yes0.2150.125$0.44$0.32
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? · Yes0.4300.095$0.17$0.60
Will Trump Airport become law this year? · Yes0.2600.033$0.13$0.90
Will the 2026 trade deficit be 1.1T or more? · Yes0.0700.035$0.08$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 23:31Will Hamarkameratene win on 2026-03-22?SELL0.051$0.90
07-04 09:26Will Josh Harward win The Bachelorette Season 22?SELL0.001$0.04
06-24 14:47Will Brandon Perce win The Bachelorette Season 22?SELL0.001$0.02
06-24 14:07Will Evan Space win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.001$0.09
06-24 13:31Will Joyce Gipson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.001$0.10
05-31 00:24Will Taylor Wettach be the Democratic Nominee for IA-01?SELL0.001$0.01
05-31 00:20Will Taylor Wettach be the Democratic Nominee for IA-01?SELL0.001$0.01
05-31 00:17Will Taylor Wettach be the Democratic Nominee for IA-01?SELL0.001$0.02
05-31 00:13Will Taylor Wettach be the Democratic Nominee for IA-01?SELL0.001$0.02
05-29 07:28Blinkova vs. Jovic: Total Sets O/U 2.5SELL0.08$0.40
05-28 00:29Will Taylor Wettach be the Democratic Nominee for IA-01?SELL0.01$0.15
05-19 13:03Will Josh Harward win The Bachelorette Season 22?SELL0.005$0.03
05-14 17:16Will Brian Cole be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?SELL0.011$0.06
05-14 06:49Will Arnetress Beatty be the Democratic Nominee for GA-05?SELL0.01$0.10
05-07 16:42Will Santiago Gimenez be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?SELL0.001$0.02