PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

alidf

0xfde38c3e0cf69179ae100832434d14bf6e95c59b

Realised P&L
$222.51
Volume
$110.2k
Markets traded
147
Open portfolio
$50.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded147
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 700B and 800B? · Yes0.0510.285$15.55+$12.79
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 600B and 700B? · Yes0.0480.101$10.85+$5.64
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 500B and 600B? · Yes0.0250.048$8.85+$4.29
Will the 2026 trade deficit be less than 500B? · Yes0.0540.035$5.75$3.25
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B? · Yes0.1000.370$3.70+$2.70
Will the 2026 trade deficit be 1.1T or more? · Yes0.0500.030$2.43$1.60
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 900B and 1T? · Yes0.0600.130$1.66+$0.89
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 1T and 1.1T? · Yes0.0510.037$1.49$0.56
Will a player representing Scotland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$0.20
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$0.45
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$1.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-23 12:53S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 23?BUY0.1$1.00
03-23 12:25S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 23?BUY0.1$4.10
03-23 05:26Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B?SELL0.28$2.80
03-10 05:26Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 900B and 1T?SELL0.27$20.52
03-08 13:46Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?SELL0.008727802$0.36
03-08 13:37Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?SELL0.0357188$7.14
03-08 11:29Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?BUY0.056$11.20
03-08 11:13Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?SELL0.213522293$10.73
03-08 05:59Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?BUY0.039$1.75
03-08 05:28Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?BUY0.04$2.39
02-26 11:15Will ZachXBT release his investigation on February 27?SELL0.02$3.40
02-26 11:08Will ZachXBT release his investigation on February 27?BUY0.021$2.68
01-29 16:37Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on January 29?BUY0.02$2.00
01-09 12:19Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 9, 2026?SELL0.021189919$2.12
01-09 10:33Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 8, 2026?BUY0.001$2.00