ng1710
0x82adc95488c9179c7ab08ebd8111fdf78a2dc29d
- Realised P&L
- $0.16
- Volume
- $793.81
- Markets traded
- 99
- Open portfolio
- $18.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded99
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.16at 0.551Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
- +$7.06at 0.348Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
- +$5.33at 0.614Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
- +$5.15at 0.531Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
- +$4.65at 0.673Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 18:55 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5849999742 | $6.00 |
| 07-15 12:34 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 07-14 21:48 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $6.00 |
| 05-15 15:42 | Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? | SELL | 0.99 | $16.17 |
| 04-09 13:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | BUY | 0.66 | $0.95 |
| 04-09 13:13 | US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.6679998838 | $4.00 |
| 04-09 06:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.7399999457 | $2.89 |
| 04-09 05:45 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | SELL | 0.29 | $3.31 |
| 04-08 09:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.72 | $1.92 |
| 04-08 06:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $0.96 |
| 04-08 06:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | BUY | 0.6299999181 | $1.89 |
| 04-08 06:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $3.98 |
| 04-08 06:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | BUY | 0.7299999416 | $2.88 |
| 04-08 05:58 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | BUY | 0.4 | $3.00 |
| 04-08 05:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.90 |