PolyBot

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Traders

ng1710

0x82adc95488c9179c7ab08ebd8111fdf78a2dc29d

Realised P&L
$0.16
Volume
$793.81
Markets traded
99
Open portfolio
$18.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded99
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.4300.835$9.71+$4.71
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.2030.193$3.80$0.20
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4800.290$3.63$2.38
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 900B and 1T? · Yes0.2800.125$0.89$1.11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET · Down0.4190.000$0.00$1.33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET · Down0.5880.000$0.00$1.79
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET · Up0.6280.000$0.00$3.37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET · Up0.5880.000$0.00$1.79
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET · Down0.4190.000$0.00$3.98
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? · Yes0.3980.000$0.00$4.42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET · Up0.4350.000$0.00$2.51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET · Up0.5830.000$0.00$2.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET · Up0.5530.000$0.00$2.78
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET · Down0.6140.000$0.00$1.72
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET · Up0.6280.000$0.00$2.53

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 18:55Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5849999742$6.00
07-15 12:34England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5399999654$5.00
07-14 21:48Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.48$6.00
05-15 15:42Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?SELL0.99$16.17
04-09 13:22Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETBUY0.66$0.95
04-09 13:13US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?BUY0.6679998838$4.00
04-09 06:43Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETBUY0.7399999457$2.89
04-09 05:45Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?SELL0.29$3.31
04-08 09:57Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETBUY0.72$1.92
04-08 06:39Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETBUY0.75$0.96
04-08 06:20Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETBUY0.6299999181$1.89
04-08 06:03Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETSELL0.99$3.98
04-08 06:01Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETBUY0.7299999416$2.88
04-08 05:58Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?BUY0.4$3.00
04-08 05:46Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETBUY0.6699999196$1.90