PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2027-04-01
Resolves by
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso/roni/
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.76. up 0.21 over the period, from 0.55. Range 0.55 to 0.80. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.782020
0.79140160
0.8587247
0.8675322
0.87100422
0.8920442
0.9041483
0.9520503
0.9750553
0.9830583
0.995551,138

Spread0.04Mid0.76

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.744040
0.734080
0.6747127
0.6620147
0.6520167
0.6440207
0.6320227
0.62100327
0.60100427
0.3650477
0.35100577
0.31100677

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.264040
0.274080
0.3347127
0.3420147
0.3520167
0.3640207
0.3720227
0.38100327
0.40100427
0.6450477
0.65100577
0.69100677

Spread0.04Mid0.24

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.222020
0.21140160
0.1587247
0.1475322
0.13100422
0.1120442
0.1041483
0.0520503
0.0350553
0.0230583
0.015551,138

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
macao.weatherYes61
GuyFromTinderYes40.41
HoracesssYes23.11
legoss2009Yes20
0xEae721187d1113C0a9BB79d2a13335F7d8618E9E-1734009839636Yes13.16
richierecapYes11
PizzaBoysYes9.59
AJSVNo66.38
LonelyScissorsNo31.12
Started-with-20-USDNo30
2B9SNo20
pppnnNo11.27
0x34dBc406881A24B82F4b138e09169d9a004B1B63-1777004802209No10
0xf9B5e9803Ea977b7111c9B7728aC6eA97f361212-1765800007149No10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
04:24:19BUYYes0.7920$15.80
04:24:18SELLNo0.2126$5.46
01:14:35BUYNo0.245$1.20
19:19:11BUYYes0.759999984813$10.00
14:26:15BUYNo0.245$1.20
10:05:33BUYYes0.765$3.80
15:26:11BUYNo0.320$6.00
15:26:11SELLYes0.720$14.00
03:32:58BUYYes0.77999999821$16.00
03:32:57BUYYes0.742442880420$14.85
03:32:57SELLNo0.397$28.98
14:54:57BUYNo0.3120$6.20
12:38:50BUYYes0.7720$15.40
12:38:50BUYYes0.6820$13.60
12:38:50BUYYes0.6823$15.71
13:26:39BUYNo0.2997$28.02
13:26:37BUYNo0.3420$6.80
08:25:49SELLYes0.7140$28.40
20:50:39BUYYes0.729999979110$7.00
08:01:57SELLYes0.735$3.65
08:01:04SELLYes0.7350$36.50
14:18:28BUYNo0.269999993929$7.92
10:04:31BUYYes0.7520$15.00
10:04:30BUYYes0.69344262361$42.30
20:50:40BUYYes0.711$7.70