PizzaBoys
0x5b4e643db1e691df229cd1797fad9fdbdd792264
- Realised P&L
- $-530.29
- Volume
- $15.1k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $81.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.397 | 0.369 | $40.77 | −$3.04 |
| Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30? · No | 0.820 | 0.920 | $22.43 | +$2.43 |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? · Yes | 0.312 | 0.265 | $11.34 | −$2.01 |
| Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.760 | $7.29 | +$0.29 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.67at 0.116Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
- +$32.39at 0.710Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$29.27at 0.357Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
- +$28.00at 0.917Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
- +$23.20at 0.430Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 21:21 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | BUY | 0.3119865003 | $13.35 |
| 09-20 21:18 | Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30? | BUY | 0.8201798138 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 20:07 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.986 | $33.31 |
| 09-16 20:50 | Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record? | BUY | 0.7299999791 | $7.00 |
| 09-16 20:45 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $25.00 |
| 09-16 20:42 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7399999953 | $25.00 |
| 09-14 16:01 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | SELL | 0.91 | $56.88 |
| 09-02 07:58 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.392 | $18.82 |
| 06-12 04:48 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.55 | $45.00 |
| 06-12 04:45 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? | SELL | 0.969 | $44.57 |
| 05-29 07:07 | Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30? | BUY | 0.7399999947 | $14.00 |
| 05-28 22:41 | Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.2015416667 | $14.51 |
| 05-09 19:51 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.64 | $40.00 |
| 05-09 19:50 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? | BUY | 0.8695000181 | $40.00 |
| 05-05 04:21 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.94 | $132.39 |