legoss2009
0x0f0b41f0d47ab76247f2a11c8cf323a245819001
- Realised P&L
- $3.31
- Volume
- $7.1k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $80.72
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.915 | $45.75 | +$1.75 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.500 | 0.396 | $19.77 | −$5.22 |
| Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.760 | $15.20 | +$1.00 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · No | 0.763 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$68.70 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? · No | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.50 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$67.82at 0.600Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
- +$11.00at 0.680Maduro mugshot released by January 9?
- +$9.24at 0.324Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$9.04at 0.614Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.65at 0.720Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 12:08 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.12 | $4.80 |
| 09-15 20:08 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.88 | $44.00 |
| 09-14 12:47 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 07-19 21:42 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.891013245 | $29.60 |
| 07-19 21:37 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6019999946 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 21:25 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.3181894 | $15.91 |
| 07-19 21:02 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.35106 | $17.55 |
| 07-19 20:49 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.86 |
| 07-19 19:25 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4049999884 | $20.00 |
| 05-14 13:45 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0069670503 | $19.92 |
| 05-13 18:45 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.31492 | $31.49 |
| 02-18 12:37 | US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $16.50 |
| 02-18 12:25 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $43.80 |
| 02-11 15:39 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $24.90 |
| 02-03 20:46 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.76 | $30.40 |