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Traders

macao.weather

0x4989bfed5900ba096b08ba1f9b718464527c983e

Realised P&L
$11.5k
Volume
$642.6k
Markets traded
971
Open portfolio
$381.62

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded971
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 19:03Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 3?SELL0.02$0.54
10-02 16:11Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 2?SELL0.001$0.26
10-02 16:10Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 3?BUY0.3767731526$11.68
10-02 16:04Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 2?SELL0.001$0.25
10-02 16:04Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 2?SELL0.001$0.02
10-02 15:57Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 2?BUY0.005$0.57
10-02 14:18Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 3?BUY0.1099999999$20.00
10-02 13:27Will Hong Kong have less than 20mm of precipitation in October?SELL0.96$170.85
10-02 10:25Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 2?SELL0.15$0.38
10-02 10:18Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 2?BUY0.28$2.80
10-02 10:17Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 2?BUY0.3$0.76
10-02 10:12Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 2?SELL0.999$177.21
10-02 10:11Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 2?BUY0.79$5.90
10-02 09:52Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 2?BUY0.87$13.05
10-02 09:48Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 2?BUY0.0265012469$0.53