0xEae721187d1113C0a9BB79d2a13335F7d8618E9E-1734009839636
0xeae721187d1113c0a9bb79d2a13335f7d8618e9e
- Realised P&L
- $15.38
- Volume
- $986.45
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $309.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.62at 0.417Will Apple launch an AirTag on September 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 19:31 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 19:19 | Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 19:16 | Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30? | BUY | 0.9667774016 | $15.00 |
| 09-20 18:46 | OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by September 30? | BUY | 0.270324189 | $8.00 |
| 09-20 18:23 | Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of summit? | BUY | 0.9689999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 18:16 | Ren Zhengfei public appearance by December 31? | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 18:16 | Ren Zhengfei public appearance by October 31? | BUY | 0.4399999947 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 18:00 | Washington voters repeal millionaires tax? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 17:50 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999851 | $3.00 |
| 09-20 17:50 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999851 | $3.00 |
| 09-20 17:50 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999595 | $3.00 |
| 09-20 17:33 | Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? | BUY | 0.7199999942 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 17:32 | ByteDance matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 17:32 | Baidu matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? | BUY | 0.9399999981 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 17:28 | Amazon announces a training pause by October 31? | BUY | 0.9099999991 | $10.00 |