Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.40% before 2027?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.043. up 0.006 over the period, from 0.037. Range 0.030 to 0.068. 153 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.054	160	160
0.056	60	220
0.059	80	300
0.060	20	320
0.072	20	340
0.076	20	360
0.109	20	380
0.110	81	461
0.175	20	481
0.176	50	531
0.272	30	561
0.273	15	576

Spread0.022Mid0.043

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.032	80	80
0.030	60	140
0.027	20	160
0.023	40	200
0.022	20	220
0.018	7	227
0.017	20	247
0.014	210	457
0.013	8	465
0.012	20	485
0.011	20	505
0.010	10	515

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.968	80	80
0.970	60	140
0.973	20	160
0.977	40	200
0.978	20	220
0.982	7	227
0.983	20	247
0.986	210	457
0.987	8	465
0.988	20	485
0.989	20	505
0.990	10	515

Spread0.022Mid0.957

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.946	160	160
0.944	60	220
0.941	80	300
0.940	20	320
0.928	20	340
0.924	20	360
0.891	20	380
0.890	81	461
0.825	20	481
0.824	50	531
0.728	30	561
0.727	15	576

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	389.69
SuperTests	Yes	194.99
hithitfar	Yes	161.91
NoSteinNoGate	Yes	110
chaosj89	Yes	107.22
linzy996	Yes	72.76
nj23adsknml3	Yes	54.99
balthazar	Yes	49.24
GotGreenWood	Yes	40
0xBD65DEE01698d6E2CEc14Bcc3f7cac50824d304f-1772365350231	Yes	26.36
financegaaaydog	Yes	22.6
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.	Yes	20
tradetosurvive1	Yes	20
pppnn	Yes	20
thecaricature	Yes	20
just-bettor	Yes	7.56
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271	Yes	7
0xd38F5f17D57b4deD218dfCBcA4Bd8dEEe78ABf78-1782112319192	Yes	5
xixihaha009	Yes	3.5
GuyFromTinder	Yes	3.33

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
18:30:22	SELL	Yes	0.063	20	$1.26
13:34:12	BUY	Yes	0.063	20	$1.26
04:57:43	BUY	Yes	0.068	20	$1.36
04:30:31	BUY	Yes	0.063	35	$2.20
07:43:31	BUY	Yes	0.04	20	$0.80
05:13:08	SELL	No	0.944	20	$18.89
00:38:11	BUY	Yes	0.04	20	$0.80
10:11:24	BUY	Yes	0.053	55	$2.91
08:08:29	BUY	Yes	0.045	60	$2.70
05:39:20	BUY	Yes	0.0389999995	27	$1.04
07:14:00	BUY	Yes	0.0208564156	95	$1.99
13:35:45	BUY	Yes	0.0219999997	46	$1.02
05:16:41	BUY	Yes	0.022	7	$0.15
04:19:56	SELL	Yes	0.014	20	$0.28
04:19:48	SELL	Yes	0.0150708	100	$1.51
04:19:48	BUY	No	0.9852505687	40	$39.44
13:18:14	BUY	Yes	0.08	110	$8.80
07:36:11	SELL	No	0.91	20	$18.21
05:35:40	BUY	Yes	0.0800997801	73	$5.83
21:23:24	BUY	Yes	0.03	12	$0.37
21:22:22	SELL	Yes	0.02	12	$0.24
21:22:15	SELL	Yes	0.02	25	$0.50
22:53:11	BUY	Yes	0.08	92	$7.40
16:16:17	SELL	Yes	0.07	98	$6.86
14:01:52	SELL	Yes	0.09	100	$9.00