PolyBot

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Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.30% before 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.20. up 0.01 over the period, from 0.18. Range 0.10 to 0.28. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.23214214
0.2440254
0.3030284
0.4220304
0.436310
0.7320330
0.7480410
0.825415
0.9310425
0.956431
0.9639470
0.9766536

Spread0.07Mid0.20

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.16125125
0.1560185
0.1140225
0.1021246
0.08214460
0.0771532
0.0683615
0.05209824
0.025829
0.0139868

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.84125125
0.8560185
0.8940225
0.9021246
0.92214460
0.9371532
0.9483615
0.95209824
0.985829
0.9939868

Spread0.07Mid0.80

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.77214214
0.7640254
0.7030284
0.5820304
0.576310
0.2720330
0.2680410
0.185415
0.0710425
0.056431
0.0439470
0.0366536

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
NoSteinNoGateYes426.71
linzy996Yes214.28
AJSVYes198.7
GotGreenWoodYes190.01
just-bettorYes36
0x4629…f3b1Yes30
tradetosurvive1Yes29.37
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.Yes20
tacorYes19.01
ConsensusOfCredibleReportingYes6
ArmageddonRewardsBillyNo600
commeowderNo308
SuperTestsNo206
0xE8C428250693d7f1E588ba6F4666d02E68F0eA5c-1782008528190No40
title1No10.01
Dr.PNLNo3.65
cloverpmq2No3.04

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
13:18:57SELLNo0.820$16.00
13:18:54BUYYes0.1498661855427$63.95
05:36:32SELLYes0.121$2.10
05:35:40BUYYes0.13999999314$2.00
05:35:40BUYYes0.1326$3.34
05:35:34BUYYes0.1281332836214$27.46
01:10:18SELLYes0.1120$2.20
17:14:40SELLYes0.1116$1.76
16:14:37SELLYes0.126$0.72
01:34:36SELLNo0.8630$25.80
22:16:26SELLNo0.8536$30.60
15:35:48SELLNo0.8436$30.24
13:58:33SELLYes0.141$0.15
13:44:59SELLYes0.132$0.24
04:20:25SELLNo0.857$5.95
01:49:19SELLNo0.8513$11.05
01:49:13BUYYes0.1244$5.28
22:05:42BUYNo0.86999998920$17.39
22:05:42BUYNo0.8546$39.10
17:57:18BUYYes0.219999998222$4.80
17:57:18BUYYes0.2220$4.40
17:57:18BUYYes0.219999998222$4.80
17:57:16SELLNo0.7940$31.60
16:14:37BUYNo0.7103896104308$218.80
16:14:37BUYNo0.810352935321$16.80